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Wisconsin Badgers vs. Iowa Hawkeyes Betting Odds – Point Spread Pick

Time: 12:00 PM EST Saturday November 2, 2013,ESPN / WatchESPN

The Iowa Hawkeyes host the Wisconsin Badgers in an Big Ten Conference divisional match up.

In their last games Wisconsin beat Illinois 56-32 on the road as a 14.5 favorite, while Iowa got by the Northwestern Wildcats 17-10 in OT at home.

These 2 teams haven’t met since October 2010, when the Badgers beat Iowa 31-30 as a 6.5 point underdog on the road.

The road team has covered the spread in 5 out of their last 6 meetings.

In the past 9 meetings between these 2 teams the Wisconsin Badgers are 2-7 against the spread.

This season Iowa is 3-2 at home and Wisconsin is 1-2 on the road.

Betting Odds at Bovada
Point Spread: Wisconsin -9.5
Over/Under Total Line: 48.5
Moneyline: Badgers -360 Hawkeyes +300

Straight up and Against the Point Spread Records
Wisconsin Badgers: 5-2 SU 6-0-1 ATS
Iowa Hawkeyes: 5-3 SU 5-3 ATS

Key Betting Trends
• Wisconsin is 5-2-1 ATS in their last 8 road games.
• Wisconsin is 6-0-1 ATS in their last 7 games overall.
• Wisconsin is 18-7-1 ATS in their last 26 games following a ATS win.
• Hawkeyes are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games overall.
• Hawkeyes are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 conference games.
• Hawkeyes have gone Over the posted total in 5 of their last 6 home games when facing a team with a winning road record.

Sagarin Power Rankings
Wisconsin Badgers: 86.25
Iowa Hawkeyes: 76.97

Key Player Injuries

[[CB] 9/20/2013 – Jake Keefer Out for the season (Knee)

[RB] 10/27/2013 – Michael Malloy Ques Saturday (Illness)

Next Game
BYU @ Wisconsin
Iowa @ Purdue

Our Selection : The Hawkeyes’ run D found out that their is a big difference facing the rushing attacks of the big boys in the Big Ten. The offensive lines of the Wildcats and the Buckeyes opened huge holes for the backs and we can’t see how they’re going to shore up their rushing defense against the Badgers. Wisconsin ranks No. 8 in the nation in rushing yards per game with 296.9 and the Badgers are not just about the ground attack with 216.7 passing yards per game.
Iowa’s defense ranks No. 12 in scoring defense allowing 18.1 points per game, but Wisconsin’s is better ranking No. 6 with 15.9 allowed. We believe the key stats here may be common opponents.
Both teams lost to Ohio State on the road with Wisconsin losing by 7 and Iowa by 10. Iowa was leading for a large portion of this game giving the Buckeyes all they could handle. The Hawkeyes’ defense wore down as the game went on giving up a total of 495 yards. The Badgers D got beat on a few big plays but for the most part did an adequate job holding Ohio State to 390 yards on the day. Also note that Wisconsin’s best tailback left with a injury early in the 4th.
Both teams won at home against Northwestern with Wisconsin winning by 29 points and Iowa winning by 7 in OT. The big difference here is the yardage margins with the Badgers out-yarding the Wildcats by 286 yards while the Hawkeyes were out-yarded by Northwestern by 24 yards. Wisconsin is expecting to have highly regarded LB Chris Borland back to solidify the defense after missing the Illinois game. So, look for a much better overall effort against Iowa who has failed to surpass 24 points in their last 4 against Big Ten opponents. Make that 5 games after Saturday where we expect the Hawkeyes to struggle to reach double digits.
We do expect the Badgers to points on the board, but keep in mind that they will be facing arguably the best defense so far this season and we think that Iowa may just be able to play a full 60 minutes with the support of the home town crowd.
Take the UNDER 48.5 at Bovada and get up to a 50% Bonus.

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