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Wisconsin Badgers vs. Illinois Fighting Illini ATS Prediction

Time: 9 PM EST Tuesday February 4, 2014, BTN

Location: State Farm Center, Champaign, Illinois

The Illinois Fighting Illini host the Wisconsin Badgers in a Big 10 match up.

In their last games: Wisconsin lost to Ohio State 59-58 and Illinois lost to Iowa 81-74.

The Badgers played decent defense in their 1-point loss to Ohio State, but they only hit 3 of their 17 3-pointers and overall only shot 40% from the floor.

In their loss to Iowa Illinois were decent on offense, but they allowed the Hawkeyes to shoot 46.4% from the floor and they gave up 15 offensive rebounds.

These 2 teams met earlier this season in Wisconsin with the Badgers crushing the Fighting Illini 95-70.

Here are some additional handicapping angles to ponder:

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Wisconsin is 6-0 ATS in the last 6 games against Illinois. In the last 4 games between these 2 teams at Illinois the total has gone Over every time.

In the last couple of weeks Wisconsin has fallen from a top 5 team to out of the top 25 with 5 losses in their last 6 games.

Illinois has lost 7 straight and that streak began with a bad loss at Wisconsin.

Betting Odds

Point Spread: Wisconsin -3.5
Total Line: 128.5
Money Line: Badgers -170 / Fighting Illini +150

Straight up and Against the Point Spread Records
Wisconsin Badgers: 17-5 SU 12-10 ATS
Illinois Fighting Illini: 13-9 SU 8-9-4 ATS

Key Betting Trends
• WISC is 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games overall.
• WISC is 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games vs. a team with a winning S.U. record.
• WISC has an Over record of 6-1 in their last 7 vs. a team with a winning S.U. record.
• ILL is 1-3-1 ATS in their last 5 home games.
• ILL is 1-6 ATS in their last 7 games overall.
• ILL has an Over record of 6-2 in their last 8 home games.

Sagarin Power Rankings
Wisconsin Badgers: 88.43
Illinois Fighting Illini: 80.65

Key Player Injuries

No injuries to report at this time.

No injuries to report at this time.

Point Spread Pick:

Taking a road team who has lost 5 of their last 6 games overall and laying points is not a bet that will lead to long term profits. Note the home team here has lost 7 straight but talent hasn’t been the main issue. Stamina and depth have been the problem with Illinois tied or in the lead with 7 minutes or less left in 6 of their last 9 losses. We think that may change tonight.
Take the Illinois Fighting Illini +3.5
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