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Free ATS Pick: Wisconsin vs. Arizona

Time: 8:49 PM EST Saturday March 29, 2014, TBS

Location: Honda Center, Anaheim, California

The 2nd seed Wisconsin Badgers take on the top-seed Arizona Wildcats in the Elite 8 match up in the West Region.

In their last games: Wisconsin beat Baylor 69-52 and Arizona beat San Diego State 70-64.

In their win over Baylor Wisconsin jumped out to a 13-point first half lead and for the game played great defense holding the Bears to a FG% of 31.6%.

Arizona outscored San Diego State by 10 points in the 2nd half and for the game they played solid defense with the Wildcats shooting only 38.9% from the floor.

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Here are some additional handicapping angles to ponder:

These teams have not met since the 2009 season when Wisconsin beat Arizona 65-61 in the NCAA tournament.

Wisconsin is 6-1 ATS in their last 7 NCAA tournament games and Arizona is 7-2 in their last 9 tourney games.

Arizona has the nation’s 5th ranked defense.

Betting Odds

Point Spread: Arizona -3
Total Line: 130
Money Line: Badgers +135 / Wildcats -155

Straight up and Against the Point Spread Records
Wisconsin Badgers: 29-7 SU 20-16 ATS
Arizona Wildcats: 33-4 SU 21-15 ATS

Key Betting Trends
• WISC is 6-0 ATS in their last 6 non-conference games.
• WISC is 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games vs. a team with a winning S.U. record.
• WISC has an Over record of 5-2 in their last 7 games.
• ARIZ is 20-8 ATS in their last 28 non-conference games.
• ARIZ is 4-0 ATS in their last 4 vs. Big Ten.
• ARIZ has an Over record of 4-0 in their last 4 games.

Sagarin Power Rankings
Wisconsin Badgers: 91.95
Arizona Wildcats: 94.34

Key Player Injuries

[F] 02/06/2014 – Brandon Ashley out for season ( Ankle )

[G] 12/07/2013 – George Marshall has left team ( Concussion )
[G] 11/18/2013 – Riley Dearring redshirt ( None )

Free ATS Pick:

We just can’t get by Wisconsin’s resume. Sure they have had a rough stretch from mid-January to early February where they lost 5 of 6 games straight up to Big Ten opponents, but the rest of the season is top notch. It looks even better today with Michigan and Michigan State still alive in the tournament along with Virginia and Florida. The Badgers have beaten every one of those teams this season and Arizona just doesn’t have the same quality wins on theirs. The Pac 12 proved in the tourney that they could be considered in the conversation of which conference is the best in the nation, but it was the non-conference schedule that doesn’t quite compare. Early season wins over San Diego State, Duke and Michigan were nice and it’s not entirely their fault that they didn’t face a tougher schedule. Nevertheless, they didn’t beat any of the current top 5 tournament favorites themselves excluded while Wisconsin did beat 3 of them.
Take the Wisconsin Badgers +3.

Why waste money? Bet this game at and lay -105 instead of -110!

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