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Washington Nationals vs. Philadelphia Phillies Free MLB Total Pick

Time: 7:05 PM EST Tuesday August 26, 2014 CSN

Location: Citizens Bank Park, Philadelphia, Pennsylvania

The Philadelphia Phillies host the Washington Nationals in a National League match up.

In their last games: In Game 1 of this 3-game series yesterday the Phillies beat the Nationals 3-2.

In yesterday’s game Philadelphia starter A.J. Burnett struck out 12 in the Phillies 3-2 win.

The Nationals are 8-6 against the Phillies this season.

Here are some additional handicapping angles to ponder:

The Nationals are 2-5 in Gio Gonzalez’s last 7 road starts.

The Nationals are 4-1 in Gonzalez’s last 5 road starts against the Phillies.

The Phillies are 5-2 in Cole Hamels’ last 7 starts.

The Phillies are 9-2 in Hamels’ last 11 home starts against the Nationals.

In the last 7 games between these 2 teams in Philadelphia the total has gone Over 5 times.

Pitching Match Up

Washington: Gio Gonzalez (6-9, 3.83 ERA)
Philadelphia: Cole Hamels (7-6, 2.53 ERA)

Betting Odds

Money Line: Phillies -107 / Nationals -103
Run Line: Nationals -1.5 +165
Total Line: Under 7 -115

Straight up and Against the Point Spread Records

Washington Nationals: 75-55 SU / O/U 64-55 / Run Line W/L 63-67
Philadelphia Phillies: 59-72 SU / O/U 68-54 / Run Line W/L 63-68

Key Betting Trends

• WASH is 13-3 in their last 16 overall.
• WASH is 38-18 in their last 56 games as a road favorite.
• WASH has an Under record of 5-1 in their last 6 road games.
• PHIL is 4-1 in their last 5 overall.
• PHIL is 4-1 in their last 5 home games.
• PHIL has an Under record of 5-2-2 in their last 9 home games vs. a team with a winning record.

Key Player Injuries

NATIONALS

Erik Davis Sprained right elbow on 60-day DL(2/13)
Taylor Jordan Right elbow soreness on 60-day DL(8/5)
Nate McLouth Right shoulder surgery – out for season on 60-day DL(8/2)
Ross Ohlendorf Right lumbar strain on 60-day DL(3/21)
Matt Purke Recovery from left elbow surgery on 60-day DL(7/25)
Steven Souza Jr. Left shoulder contusion on 15-day DL(8/10)
Ryan Zimmerman Strained right hamstring – out 6-8 weeks on 15-day DL(7/23)

PHILLIES

Mike Adams Right rotator cuff inflammation on 60-day DL(6/7)
Cliff Lee Left flexor pronator strain on 15-day DL(8/1)
John Mayberry Left wrist inflammation on 15-day DL(7/21)

Moneyline Pick:

The Nationals and the Phillies are two of the better clubs in runs scored per 9 innings against left handed pitching. Washington pitcher Gio Gonzalez is coming off a sharp 7 shutout innings against the Diamondbacks, but that was his first QS in 5 games and his last against the Phillies was a disaster with 5 earned runs allowed over just 3 2/3 innings. Hamels’ numbers do look a bit better and I was tempted to take a position on Philadelphia, but he appears to be off form with 9 hits given up in back to back games. Manny Gonzalez is behind home plate who does lean to the over giving us a fair shake on our wager.

Take the OVER 7 -105

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