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Washington Nationals vs. L.A. Dodgers Free MLB Total Pick

Time: 8:10 PM EST Monday September 1, 2014 MLBN

Location: Dodger Stadium, Los Angeles, California

The L.A. Dodgers host the Washington Nationals in a National League match up.

In their last games: The Nationals lost to the Seattle Mariners 5-3 and the Dodgers beat the San Diego Padres 7-1.

Even though Washington’s Bryce Harper hit 2 home runs Seattle’s Dustin Ackley drove in 4 runs to lead the Mariners past the Nationals 5-3.

L.A. starter Hyun-Jin Ryu struck out 7 hitters over 7 innings to lead the Dodgers past the Padres 7-1.

The Nationals are 2-1 facing the Dodgers this season.

Here are some additional handicapping angles to ponder:

The Nationals are 0-4 in Gio Gonzalez’s last 4 road starts.

In the last 8 games between these 2 teams the total has gone Under 6 times.

The Dodgers are 24-7 in their last 31 home games against the Nationals.

Roberto Hernandez is 2-1 with a 3.52 ERA in 4 starts for the Dodgers since being traded from the Phillies and this season facing the Nationals he has beaten them twice in 2 starts without giving up an earned run.

Pitching Match Up

Washington: Gio Gonzalez (6-9, 3.86 ERA)
Los Angeles: Roberto Hernandez (8-9, 3.81 ERA)

Betting Odds

Money Line: Nationals -114 / Dodgers +104
Run Line: Dodgers -1.5 +150
Total Line: Under 7 +110

Straight up and Against the Point Spread Records

Washington Nationals: 77-58 SU / O/U 67-56 / Run Line W/L 65-70
L.A. Dodgers 77-60 SU / O/U 64-66 / Run Line W/L 68-69

Key Betting Trends

• WASH is 14-5 in their last 19 overall.
• WASH is 16-5 in their last 21 games as a favorite.
• WASH has an Over record of 6-2-1 in their last 9 games.
• LA is 1-4 in their last 5 vs. a team with a winning record.
• LA is 19-7 in their last 26 games vs. a left-handed starter.
• LA has an Over record of 5-2 in their last 7 home games.

Key Player Injuries

NATIONALS

Erik Davis Sprained right elbow on 60-day DL(2/13)
Taylor Jordan Right elbow soreness on 60-day DL(8/5)
Nate McLouth Right shoulder surgery – out for season on 60-day DL(8/2)
Ross Ohlendorf Right lumbar strain on 60-day DL(3/21)
Matt Purke Recovery from left elbow surgery on 60-day DL(7/25)
Steven Souza Jr. Left shoulder contusion on 15-day DL(8/10)
Ryan Zimmerman Strained right hamstring – out 6-8 weeks on 15-day DL(7/23)

DODGERS

Josh Beckett Left hip impingement on 15-day DL(8/4)
Chad Billingsley Recovery from right elbow surgery on 60-day DL(3/19)
Onelki Garcia Recovery from left elbow surgery on 60-day DL(3/22)
Paul Maholm Torn right ACL – out for season on 60-day DL(8/2)
Chris Perez Bone spurs, right ankle on 15-day DL(8/4)
Paco Rodriguez Left shoulder strain on 15-day DL(8/4)
Chris Withrow Torn UCL, right elbow on 60-day DL(5/21)

Total Pick:

Gio Gonzalez may be rounding back into form with back to back quality starts and 4 consecutive outings of allowing 3 or fewer runs. He hasn’t faced the Dodgers this season, but was sharp in his two career starts pitching 12 innings and allowing a total of 2 runs. Roberto Hernandez 5 QS in his last 6 starts and he’s been brilliant against the Nationals in two starts this season allowing zero runs over 15 1/3 innings. Neither team is lighting up the scoreboard with the Nationals tallying greater than 3 runs in just 2 of their last 6 games and the Dodgers in just 1 of their last 4.

Take the UNDER 7 +110

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