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Washington Nationals vs. Cincinnati Reds Total Prediction

Time: 7:10 PM EST Friday July 25, 2014 FSOH

Location: Great American Ball Park, Cincinnati, Ohio

The Cincinnati Reds host the Washington Nationals in a National League match up.

In their last games: The Reds lost to the Milwaukee Brewers 5-1 and the Nationals lost to the Colorado Rockies 6-4.

In their loss the Brewers the Cincy pitching gave up 2 HR to Milwaukee’s Mark Reynolds and overall only scored 1 run on 5 hits.

The Rockies scored 3 runs early and then 3 again late in the game to beat the Nationals 6-4.

Here are some additional handicapping angles to ponder:

The Nationals are 6-2 in Tanner Roark’s last 8 starts.

Cincinnati is 4-0 in Alfredo Simon’s last 4 home starts.

In the last 4 games between these 2 teams in Cincinnati the total has gone Over every time.

Pitching Match Up
Washington Nationals: Tanner Roark (9-6, 2.91 ERA)
Cincinnati Reds: Alfredo Simon (12-4, 2.74 ERA)

Betting Odds

Money Line: Nationals -116 / Reds +106
Run Line: Washington -1.5 +165
Total Line: 7.5

Straight up, Over/Under and Runline Records
Washington Nationals: 55-44 SU / O/U 49-41 / Run Line W/L 50-49
Cincinnati Reds: 51-50SU / O/U 43-53 / Run Line W/L 54-47

Key Betting Trends
• WASH is 4-1 in their last 5 road games.
• WASH is 4-1 in their last 5 overall.
• WASH has an Over record of 4-1-1 in their last 6 games.
• CINCY is 7-2 in their last 9 home games.
• CINCY is e 0-6 in their last 6 overall.
• CINCY has an Under record of 6-0 in their last 6 games.

Key Player Injuries

NATIONALS
Erik Davis Sprained right elbow on 60-day DL(2/13)
Ross Ohlendorf Right lumbar strain on 60-day DL(3/21)
Eury Perez Fractured left toe on 60-day DL(5/16)
Ryan Zimmerman Strained right hamstring on 15-day DL(7/23)

REDS
Trevor Bell Right elbow inflammation on 60-day DL(4/8)
Jack Hannahan Recovery from shoulder surgery on 60-day DL(3/30)
Sean Marshall Left shoulder surgery – out for season on 60-day DL(6/11)
Logan Ondrusek Strained right shoulder on 15-day DL(7/13)
Brandon Phillips Left thumb surgery – out 6-8 weeks on 15-day DL(7/11)
Joey Votto Strained left quadriceps on 15-day DL(7/6)

Total Pick:

The Reds starter Alfredo Simon had 8 quality starts in a row before being chased in 5th inning in his latest, giving up 2 earned runs on 5 hits to the Yankees. Simon faced the Nationals on May 21, pitching 7 frames of 5 hit ball and giving up 1 run. Washington’s hurler Tanner Roark was on the losing end of that 2-1 loss to the Reds on May 21st but pitched well yielding 1 earned run on 6 hits. This contest looks to be another pitchers duel and warrants a play on the Under.
Take UNDER 7.5 -105.

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