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Washington Nationals vs. Atlanta Braves Total Prediction

Time: 7:10 PM EST Saturday April 12, 2014 FSS

Location: Turner Field, Atlanta, Georgia

The Atlanta Braves host the Washington Nationals in a National League East match up.

In their last games: The Braves beat the Nationals 7-6 in Game 1 of this series.

In last night’s game the Braves scored in the 10th inning on a Justin Upton bloop single with Jordan Schafer scoring all the way from first base. The Nationals had 14 hits in the loss and left 10 men on base.

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Here are some additional handicapping angles to ponder:

Washington is 1-4 in Tyler Jordan’s last 5 road starts.

In the last 5 games between these 2 teams the total has gone Under 4 times.

The Braves are 4-1 in their last 5 home games against the Nationals and have won 20 of their last 27 games facing them overall.

Justin Upton has gone 6 for 7 with 3 home runs and 5 RBI in his last two games.

Pitching Match Up
Washington Nationals: Tyler Jordan (0-0 1.42 ERA)
Atlanta Braves: Alex Wood (1-1 1.93 ERA)

Betting Odds

Money Line: Nationals +117 / Braves -127
Run Line: Atlanta -1.5 +170
Total Line: 7 Over(-125)

Straight up and Against the Point Spread Records
Washington Nationals: 7-3 SU / O/U 6-4 / Run Line W/L 7-3
Atlanta Braves: 6-4 SU / O/U 3-6 / Run Line W/L 5-5

Key Betting Trends
• WASH is 5-1 in their last 6 road games.
• WASH is 17-38 in their last 55 games as a road underdog.
• WASH has an Under record of 25-10-3 in their last 38 games as a road underdog.
• ATL is 68-30 in their last 98 home games.
• ATL is 27-5 in their last 32 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600.
• ATL has an Over record of 5-1-1 in their last 7 home games.

Key Player Injuries

BRAVES
[P] 03/28/2014 – Kris Medlen 60-day DL, out for season ( Elbow )
[P] 03/28/2014 – Mike Minor 15-day DL (3/21) ( Shoulder )
[P] 03/28/2014 – Gavin Floyd 15-day DL (3/21) ( Elbow )
[P] 03/28/2014 – Jonny Venters 60-day DL (3/21) ( Elbow )
[P] 03/29/2014 – Brandon Beachy 60-day DL, out for season ( Elbow )
[P] 03/29/2014 – Cory Gearrin 60-day DL (3/26) ( Elbow )
[SS] 04/11/2014 – Andrelton Simmons “?” Saturday vs. Washington Nationals ( Wrist )

NATIONALS
[C] 04/02/2014 – Wilson Ramos 15-day DL (4/1), expected to miss 4-8 weeks ( Hand )
[P] 03/30/2014 – Doug Fister 15-day DL (3/23) ( Back )
[LF] 04/06/2014 – Scott Hairston 15-day DL (4/6) ( Oblique )
[P] 03/28/2014 – Erik Davis 60-day DL (2/13) ( Elbow )
[P] 03/29/2014 – Ross Ohlendorf 60-day DL (3/26) ( Back )

Over/Under Total Pick:

Today’s starters combined to produce a fantastic pitchers’ duel 6 days ago in Washington with the Nationals ended up on the winning end 2-1. Washington starter Taylor Jordon gave up 1 run on 6 hits in 6 1/3 in his only start this season. The Braves ace south paw Alex Wood has been solid in his 2 starts this season pitching a combined 14 innings of 9 hit ball allowing only 3 runs. Hard to side with either team so we’ll look to both starters to continue their solid form, keeping this game under the posted total. Take Under 7 (+110).

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