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VCU Rams vs. UMASS Minutemen ATS Prediction

Time: 7 PM EST Friday February 21, 2014, ESPN2

Location: William D. Mullins Center, Amherst, Massachusetts

The UMSASS Minutemen host the VCU Rams in an Atlantic 10 Conference match up.

In their last games: VCU lost to St. Louis 64-62 and UMASS beat George Washington 67-61.

In their loss to St. Louis the Rams lost because they were cold shooting with a FG% of only 38.5% and they only drained 2 of their 16 3-pointers.

Even though UMASS only beat George Washington by 6 points they played great on both sides of the court shooting 49% from the floor and holding the Colonials to 36.7% shooting.

Last season VCU beat UMASS twice with the last being a 71-62 win over the Minutemen in the conference tournament.

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Here are some additional handicapping angles to ponder:

VCU has lost 2 of their last 3 games.

UMSASS has won 3 of their last 4 games.

Both of these teams have 20 wins with VCU having 3 conference losses and UMASS having 4. Each of these teams is on the bubble since the A10 is not a major conference.

Betting Odds

Point Spread: UMASS -1
Total Odds: OFF

Straight up and Against the Point Spread Records

UMASS Minutemen: 20-6 SU 12-12 ATS
VCU Rams: 20-5 SU 15-10 ATS

Key Betting Trends
• VCU is 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games overall.
• VCU is 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games vs. a team with a winning S.U. record.
• VCU has an Over record of 19-8 in their last 27 games.
• UMASS is 2-5 ATS in their last 7 home games.
• UMASS is 3-7 ATS in their last 10 games following a S.U. win.
• UMASS has an Under record of 6-2 in their last 8 home games.
Sagarin Power Rankings
UMASS Minutemen: 83.89
VCU Rams: 85.21
Key Player Injuries
Minutemen
[F] 12/02/2013 – Zach Coleman out indefinitely ( Leg )
Rams
[F] 02/18/2014 – Terrance Shannon has left the team ( None )

Point Spread Pick

So we have arguably the better team (0.6288 RPI) who is at home where they are 10-1. The Minuteman have yet to beat the Rams, but their history shows only two games and they were both played last season. VCU has just 6 losses on the season, but has lost their last 2 road games straight up and are a mediocre 4-4 on the road overall.
Take the Umass Minuteman -1.5

Bet this game at and Lay -105 instead of -110 on this game!

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