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UCONN Huskies vs. Florida Gators Point Spread Pick

Time: 6:09 PM EST Saturday April 5, 2014, TBS

Location: AT&T Stadium, Arlington, Texas

The UCONN Huskies face the Florida Gators in a Final 4 match up.

In their last games: UCONN beat Michigan State 60-54 and Florida beat Dayton 62-52.

In their win over Michigan State UCONN did not have a good shooting game, but the held the Spartans to a FG% of 39.1% and the forced 16 turnovers.

In their win over Dayton Florida did not shoot the ball well, but held the Flyers to 39.6% shooting from the floor and grabbed 12 offensive rebounds. In the game the Gators jumped out to a 14-point halftime lead.

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Here are some additional handicapping angles to ponder:

Florida is riding a 30-game winning streak.

One of Florida’s 2 losses on the season came against UCONN.

UCONN leading scorer Shabazz Napier (18.1 ppg) has averaged 23.3 ppg in this season’s NCAA Tournament.

UCONN is 13-3 ATS in their last 16 NCAA Tournament games and Florida is 20-9 ATS in their last 29 tourney games.

Florida has the nation’s 3rd ranked defense.

Betting Odds

Point Spread: Florida -6.5
Total Line: 139
Money Line: Huskies +255 / Gators -310

Straight up and Against the Point Spread Records
UCONN Huskies: 30-8 SU 21-15 ATS
Florida Gators: 36-2 SU 18-15-1 ATS

Key Betting Trends
• UCONN is 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games overall.
• UCONN is 5-0 ATS in their last 5 non-conference games.
• UCONN has an Under record of 14-4 in their last 18 games.
• FLA is 7-3 ATS in their last 10 games overall.
• FLA is 7-3 ATS in their last 10 games following a S.U. win.
• FLA has an Under record of 5-2 in their last 7 games.

Sagarin Power Rankings
UCONN Huskies: 89.30
Florida Gators: 94.18

Key Player Injuries

No injuries to report at this time.

[F] 12/21/2013 – Damontre Harris out for season ( Dismissed )
[G] 12/03/2013 – Eli Carter redshirt ( Leg )
[G] 11/20/2013 – Dillon Graham out for season ( Hip )

Point Spread Pick:

On paper UConn had a difficult road to reach the Final Four having to beat the No.2 seed Villanova, the No. 3 Iowa State, and many sharp’s tournament favorite the No.4 Michigan State in their bracket. So, the Huskies have definitely earned their spot in the Final Four. Florida had an as easy go of it in the tournament having the NO. 4 UCLA Bruins as their toughest competition. The Gators earned their cream puff tourney schedule from their exceptional regular season play, so there is no argument on whether they deserve to be here. My argument is with the line. Yes the Florida Gators have won 30 in a row and in 21 of those games they beat their competition by more than the current line of 6.5. But, it’s the game that preceded the 30-game win streak that I’m more interested in. They lost by the smallest of margins but it was to who that is the key. I’ll take the points and side with the public here (Did I just say that?) backing the team that was the last to beat Florida this season. Take the UConn Huskies +6.5.

Why waste money? Bet this game at and lay -105 instead of -110!

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