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UCLA Bruins vs. Texas Longhorns Free Point Spread Pick

Opening Line: UCLA -7
Over/Under: 49.5

Time: 8 PM EST Saturday September 13, 2014 on FOX

UCLA Bruins (2-0) vs. Texas Longhorns (1-1)

Texas is coming off an embarrassing 41-7 home loss to BYU and while they face a 12th ranked UCLA team that is 2-0 the Bruins have still dropped 5 spots in the polls with their less then impressive performances. UCLA barely beat a weak Memphis team last week when their secondary was torched with the offense bailing their D out.

These teams have split the 6 games facing each other and the last time they met back in 2011 Texas crushed UCLA 49-20 in L.A.

Bruins QB Brett Hundley came into the season with Heisman hype and after a lackluster season opener he lit up Memphis last week almost passing for 400 yards with 3 TD and 1 INT.

In their last games UCLA beat Memphis 42-35 and Texas lost to BYU 41-7.

UCLA is 0-2 ATS with an Over/Under record of 1-1 and Texas is 1-1 ATS with an Over/Under record of 1-1.

Texas is 1-1 at home so far on the season and UCLA is 1-0 on the road.

UCLA and their defense gave up 469 total yards in the win over Memphis (305 passing 164 rushing) and they will be dealing with new starting Texas QB in Tyrone Swoopes, He is a duel threat QB and last week against BYU he was 20/31 for 176 yards with 1 TD and an INT. Longhorns’ WR Jaxon Shipley is questionable for this game, but the Bruins still have to worry about John Harris, who is averaging 12.7 yards per catch.

The Bruins were thought to have a solid front line D, but their pass rush has struggled and they are giving up 4.2 yards per rush.

Texas only rushed for 82 yards in the loss to BYU and they have to run the ball in this game to help their freshman QB out, as he cannot do it all.

Hundley is the 2nd leading rusher for the Bruins and he has a great WR duo in Jordan Payton and Thomas Duarte, who are each averaging over 13 yards per catch.

The Longhorns’ D was not bad against the pass last week, but they gave up 248 rushing yards. Bruins Paul Perkins has played well in the backfield so far this season and he will get his chances in this game facing a Texas run defense that was torched last week.

Texas committed 4 turnovers last week and was also only 3/15 on 3rd down conversions.

Betting Trends

UCLA is 7-3 ATS in their last 10 games following a S.U. win, 7-3 ATS in their last 10 non-conference games, and they have an Under record of 7-1 in their last 8 road games.

Texas is 1-4 ATS vs. a team with a winning record, 1-4 ATS in their last 5 non-conference games, and they have an Under record of 5-1 in their last 6 games.

Point Spread Pick

I’m looking at two possibilities. Either the Longhorns decide to reinstall suspended offensive lineman Kennedy Estelle and Desmond Harrison or barring that we’ll see some improved play from the back-up lineman this week. With either one Texas has a better shot to cover this line. UCLA is 2-0, but they haven’t looked good against Virginia in their opener on the road or Memphis in their home opener last week. With an improvement in the play of the offensive line the Longhorns could win this game and are the play getting points at home after an embarrassing game against BYU.

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