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NCAA Free Point Spread Pick: UCLA Bruins versus Florida Gators

Time: 9:45 PM EST Thursday March 27, 2014, CBS

Location: FedExForum, Memphis, Tennessee

In a Sweet 16 match up in the South Region the 4th seed UCLA Bruins face the top seed Florida Gators.

In their last games: UCLA beat Stephen F. Austin 77-60 and Florida beat Pittsburgh 61-45.

In their win over Stephen F. Austin UCLA jumped out to q 10-point halftime lead, shot 54.7% from the floor, and they held the Lumberjacks to a FG% of 35.1%.

In their win over Pittsburgh Florida outscored the Panthers by 11 points in the 2nd half and for the game played great defense holding the Panthers to a FG% of 37.3%.

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Here are some additional handicapping angles to ponder:

UCLA is riding a 5-game winning streak.

Florida has won 28 straight games.

UCLA ranks 12th in the nation in scoring averaging 81.8 ppg.

Florida has the nation’s 3rd ranked defense only giving up an average of 57.5 ppg.

Betting Odds

Point Spread: Florida -4.5
Total Line: 137
Money Line: Bruins +170 / Gators -200

Straight up and Against the Point Spread Records
UCLA Bruins: 28-8 SU 23-12 ATS
Florida Gators: 34-2 SU 17-14-1 ATS

Key Betting Trends
• UCLA is 5-0 ATS in their last 5 games.
• UCLA is 2-0 ATS in their 2 NCAA Tournament games this season.
• UCLA has an Under record of 5-1 in their last 6 games.
• FLA is 6-2 ATS in their last 8 games.
• FLA is 1-1 ATS in their 2 NCAA Tournament games this season
• FLA has an Under record of 4-1 in their last 5 games.

Sagarin Power Rankings
UCLA Bruins: 89.23
Florida Gators: 93.08
Key Player Injuries

[F] 03/19/2014 – Wanaah Bail out indefinitely ( Knee )

[G] 03/24/2014 – Scottie Wilbekin probable Thursday vs. UCLA ( Knee )
[F] 12/21/2013 – Damontre Harris out for season ( Dismissed )
[G] 12/03/2013 – Eli Carter redshirt ( Leg )
[G] 11/20/2013 – Dillon Graham out for season ( Hip )

Point Spread Pick:

It may be difficult for most to fathom that the team who has won 28 games in a row is not the “hot team“ going into this match-up, but that’s our take. The Bruins have been on fire destroying Oregon by 19 and Stanford by 25 before knocking off Arizona by 4 in the Pac 12 final. The outstanding play has continued in the NCAA Tourney with UCLA easily dispatching both Tulsa and Stephen F. Austin by 17 points. The Bruins can score, but it’s their defense that has stepped up big time holding 4 of their last 5 opponents to 63 or fewer points. This is a very difficult match up for the Gators whose games against UConn and Wisconsin come to mind when comparing the current defense play of UCLA. Do not be surprised if the Bruins dispose of the Gators.
Take the UCLA Bruins +4.5.

Why waste money? Bet this game at and lay -105 instead of -110!

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