Toronto Blue Jays vs. Baltimore Orioles Prediction and Betting Odds
- Updated: May 12, 2015
Toronto Blue Jays vs. Baltimore Orioles Prediction and Betting Odds. The 16-17 Toronto Blue Jays are set to take on the 14-16 Baltimore Orioles at Oriole Park at Camden Yards, Baltimore, Maryland tonight May 12, 2015, first pitch is scheduled 7:05 PM
Moneylines: Blue Jays +105 / Orioles -125
O/U: 8.5 runs
Pitching Match Up
Toronto: Mark Buehrle (4-2, 6.00 ERA)
Baltimore: Chris Tillman (2-4, 6.25 ERA)
In their last games: In Game 1 of this 3-game series yesterday the Orioles beat the Blue Jays 5-2.
The Blue Jays go into Baltimore in the 2nd game of a 3-game series. The 4-2 Mark Buehrle goes for the Blue Jays and the 2-4 Chris Tillman goes for the Orioles. The Orioles open up at -125 at home with a line sitting at 8.5 runs. The Blue Jays had won 3 straight, but they have lost 2 in a row including Game 1 in this series. They are in 3rd place in the AL East 5 games back of the New York Yankees with the Orioles 5.5 games back. Toronto has scored the most runs in the Majors, but in losing 2 in a row they have only totaled 5 runs. The pitching has been the problem for the Blue Jays this season, as they rank 26th in team ERA. After losing 4 in a row the Orioles have won 2 of their last 3 games. They rank 12th in runs scored and 22nd in team ERA and in their last 3 games they have given up a combined 10 runs. The last time these 2 teams met the Blue Jays were at home and swept the Orioles in a 3-game series.
Here are some additional handicapping angles to ponder:
The Blue Jays are 4-1 in their last 5 games against the Orioles.
The Orioles are 5-2 in their last 7 home games against the Blue Jays.
In the last 20 games between these 2 teams the Under record is 13-6-1.
This season the Orioles are 9-5 at home and the Blue Jays are 7-10 on the road.
STRAIGHT UP / OVER/UNDER / RUN LINE RECORDS
Toronto Blue Jays: 16-17 SU / O/U 16-15 / Run Line W/L 16-17
Baltimore Orioles: 14-16 SU / O/U 14-13 / Run Line W/L 16-14
• TOR is 3-8 in their last 11 road games.
• TOR is 0-4 in their last 4 games as an underdog.
• TOR has an Under record of 4-0-1 in their last 5 games.
• BAL is 2-5 in their last 7 overall.
• BAL is 42-17 in their last 59 home games.
• BAL has an Under record of 4-0 in their last 4 home games.
[SS] 04/28/2015 – Jose Reyes 15-day DL (4/26) ( Ribs )
[C] 04/23/2015 – Dioner Navarro 15-day DL (4/22) ( Hamstring )
[RF] 05/10/2015 – Michael Saunders 15-day DL (4/9) ( Knee )
[RF] 05/11/2015 – Jose Bautista is not expected to be in the starting lineup Monday vs. Baltimore Orioles ( Rest )
[2B] 04/06/2015 – Maicer Izturis 60-day DL (3/27) ( Groin )
[P] 04/06/2015 – Marcus Stroman 60-day DL (4/6) ( Knee )
[P] 05/08/2015 – Kevin Gausman 15-day DL (5/7) ( Shoulder )
[SS] 05/07/2015 – Everth Cabrera 15-day DL (5/7) ( Foot )
[C] 04/06/2015 – Matt Wieters 15-day DL (3/27) ( Elbow )
[2B] 04/18/2015 – Jonathan Schoop 15-day DL (4/18) ( Knee )
[P] 04/11/2015 – Wesley Wright 15-day DL (4/11) ( Shoulder )
Free MLB Prediction
Mark Buehrle gets the start for the Blue Jays and in his last start he went 6 innings and only gave up 1 earned run in a 5-1 win over the Yankees. He has already beaten the Orioles twice this season once at home and once in Baltimore. In those 2 games he gave up a combined 5 earned runs, but the Orioles gave him a ton of run production totaling 25 runs. He has the highest ERA in the Majors of any 4-game winner. Chris Tillman has lost 3 straight start and he has never lost 4 in a row in his career. In his last 3 starts he has given up 13 runs in 17 innings. The Orioles are 0-4 in Tillman’s last 4 starts against the Blue Jays where he has an ERA of 9.45.
Buehle has received a lot of run support in his starts this season, but may not have that tonight with the Toronto offense in a mini-slump in their last 3 games. Tillman will pitch better at home tonight and while this will likely not be a pitcher’s duel the Orioles will win.