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Toronto Blue Jays vs. Baltimore Orioles Free MLB Pick

Time: 7:05 PM EST Monday September 15, 2014 MAS2

Location: Oriole Park at Camden Yards, Baltimore, Maryland

The Baltimore Orioles host the Toronto Blue Jays in an American League East match up.

In their last games: The Blue Jays lost to the Tampa Bay Rays 6-5 and the Orioles beat the New York Yankees 3-2.

The Blue Jays gave up a run in the 10th inning in their 6-5 loss to the Rays.

The Orioles scored 2 runs in the bottom of the 9th inning in their 3-2 win over the Yankees.

The Orioles are 7-6 against the Blue Jays this season.

Here are some additional handicapping angles to ponder:

The Blue Jays are 2-5 in Marcus Stroman’s last 7 road starts.

The Orioles are 5-0 in Wei-Yin Chen’s last 5 home starts.

In the last 4 games between these 2 teams in Baltimore the total has gone Under every time.

Pitching Match Up

Toronto: Marcus Stroman (10-5, 3.61 ERA)
Baltimore: Wei-Yin Chen (15-4, 3.59 ERA)

Betting Odds

Money Line: Baltimore -115 / Toronto +105
Run Line: Baltimore -1.5 +170
Total Line: Under 7.5 -115

Straight up and Against the Point Spread Records

Oakland A’s: 77-71 SU / O/U 72-71 / Run Line W/L 81-67
L.A. Angels: 89-60 SU / O/U 64-82 / Run Line W/L 86-63

Key Betting Trends

• TOR is 5-2 in their last 7 road games.
• TOR is 10-4 in their last 14 overall.
• TOR has an Over record of 4-1 in their last 5 games.
• BAL is 38-15 in their last 53 games as a home favorite.
• BAL is 35-16 in their last 51 home games.
• BAL has an Under record of 4-0 in their last 4 games.

Key Player Injuries

BLUE JAYS

Melky Cabrera Fractured right pinky finger on 15-day DL(9/6)
Maicer Izturis Left knee surgery – out 4-6 months on 60-day DL(4/14)
Chad Jenkins Fractured right hand on 15-day DL(9/5)
Brett Lawrie Left oblique strain on 60-day DL(8/6)

ORIOLES

Manny Machado Right knee surgery – out for season on 60-day DL(8/12)
Johan Santana Recovery from left shoulder surgery on 60-day DL(6/2)
Matt Wieters Right elbow surgery – out for season on 60-day DL(5/11)
Chris Davis 1B – Sep 14: Suspension

Free MLB Pick

The Jays send rookie Marcus Stroman to the mound to face the orioles for the first time in his career. He’s been brilliant in recent games coming off of a complete game shutout of the Cubs and putting together 3 consecutive strong performances allowing a combined 4 runs in 22 and 2/3 innings. On the road he has had been erratic where he has been either good or bad although 2 of the poor starts came during a rough patch for the young starter. He appears to have put that behind him. Wei-Yin Chen has been a good 7-2 at home and the Orioles are 10-4 in his home starts, but he has pitched well enough to post a quality start in just half of those starts. He has not performed well against Toronto with career numbers of 0-2 with a 8.10 ERA. The value is with the visitor in tonight’s matchup.

Take the Toronto Blue Jays + 105

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