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Toronto Blue Jays vs. Tampa Bay Rays Total Pick

Time: 7:10 PM EST Thursday April 3, 2014 SUN

Location: Tropicana Field, St. Petersburg, Florida

The Tampa Bay Rays host the Toronto Blue Jays in an American League East match up.

In their last games: The Blue Jays beat the Rays 3-0.

In yesterday’s win over the Rays Toronto Starter Mark Buehrle went 8 2/3 innings and did not give up any earned runs and only gave up 4 hits. Toronto’s Juan Bautista hit 2 solo HR in the game.

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Here are some additional handicapping angles to ponder:

After winning the first game in this 4-game series the Rays have lost 2 in a row.

Tampa Bay is 44-16 in their last 60 home games against the Blue Jays.

In the last 5 games between these 2 teams in Tampa Bay the total has gone Under 4 times.

The Blue Jays are 1-5 in Morrow’s last 6 road starts.

The Rays are 5-0 in Archer’s last 5 home starts.

Pitching Match Up
Toronto Blue Jays: Brandon Morrow (0-0 0.00 ERA)
Tampa Bay Rays: Chris Archer (0-0 0.00 ERA)

Betting Odds

Money Line: Blue Jays +133 / Tampa Bay -143
Run Line: Tampa Bay -1.5 +140
Total Line: 7.5 Over(-120)

Straight up and Against the Point Spread Records
Toronto Blue Jays: 2-1 SU / O/U 1-2 / Run Line W/L 2-1
Tampa Bay Rays: 1-2 SU / O/U 1-2 / Run Line W/L 1-2

Key Betting Trends
• TOR is 5-2 in their last 7 road games vs. a right-handed starter.
• TOR is 2-8 in their last 10 games following a win.
• TOR has an Under record of 7-2 in their last 9 road games.
• TB is 5-2 in their last 7 games as a home favorite.
• TB is 7-3 in their last 10 games following a loss.
• TB has an Under record of 4-1 in their last 5 games as a favorite.

Key Player Injuries

BLUE JAYS
[P] 03/31/2014 – Casey Janssen 15-day DL (3/29) ( Back )
[SS] 04/01/2014 – Jose Reyes 15-day DL (3/30) ( Hamstring )
[P] 03/27/2014 – J.A. Happ 15-day DL (3/26) ( Back )

RAYS
[LF] 04/02/2014 – David DeJesus “?” Thursday vs. Toronto Blue Jays ( Foot )
[P] 03/30/2014 – Juan Oviedo 15-day DL (3/30) ( Elbow )
[2B] 03/30/2014 – Tim Beckham 15-day DL (3/30) ( Knee )
[P] 03/28/2014 – Jeremy Hellickson 15-day DL (3/30) ( Elbow )

Total Pick:

Blue Jays starter Brandon Morrow pitched 15 innings during spring season giving up 10 hits and 10 earned runs. Morrow missed the last 4 months of the 2013 season with a forearm injury. The Jay’s starter pitched in 10 games in 2013 and 8 of those games went over todays’ posted total. We do like the Rays to win this game but don’t want to lay that kind of juice against the Jays solid batting lineup. We think the total is the way to go in this match-up. Take Over 7.5 runs.

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