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Tigers vs. Orioles Free MLB Pick

Time: 5:37 PM EST Thursday October 2, 2014 TBS

Location: Oriole Park at Camden Yards, Baltimore, Maryland

The Baltimore Orioles host the Detroit Tigers in an American League playoff match up.

In their last games: The Tigers beat the Minnesota Twins 3-0 and the Orioles beat the Toronto Blue Jays 1-0.

Detroit starter David Price took a shutout into the 8th inning and the bullpen did the rest in the 3-0 win over the Twins.

Miguel Gonzalez became the 4th Baltimore starter to get 10 wins in the Orioles 1-0 win over the Blue Jays.

Here are some additional handicapping angles to ponder:

The Tigers are 5-1 in Max Scherzer’s last 6 road starts.

The Orioles are 13-5 in Chris Tillman’s last 18 starts as an underdog.

The Orioles are 4-0 in Tillman’s last 4 starts against the Tigers.

The Tigers are 5-1 in their last 6 games against the Orioles.

Pitching Match Up

Detroit: Max Scherzer (18-5, 3.15 ERA)
Baltimore: Chris Tillman (13-6, 3.34 ERA)

Betting Odds

Money Line: Orioles +104 / Tigers -114
Run Line: Tigers -1.5 +145
Total Line: Under 7 +100

Straight up and Against the Point Spread Records

Detroit Tigers: 90-72 SU / O/U 84-72 / Run Line W/L 78-84
Baltimore Orioles: 96-66 SU / O/U 68-99 / Run Line W/L 94-68

Key Betting Trends

• DET is 7-3 in their last 10 games as a road favorite.
• DET is 5-2 in their last 7 road games vs. a team with a winning record.
• DET has an Under record of 6-2-1 in their last 9 games.
• BAL is 21-10 in their last 31 overall.
• BAL is 37-16 in their last 53 home games.
• BAL has an Under record of 7-2-1 in their last 10 home games.

Key Player Injuries

TIGERS
Andy Dirks Recovery from back surgery on 60-day DL(3/29)
Joel Hanrahan Recovery from right elbow surgery on 60-day DL(5/2)
Jose Iglesias Bilateral tibial stress fractures on 60-day DL(3/29)
Luke Putkonen Right elbow inflammation on 60-day DL(4/19)
Bruce Rondon Right elbow surgery – out for season on 60-day DL(3/29)
Drew VerHagen Stress reaction in spine on 60-day DL(9/1)

ORIOLES
Manny Machado Right knee surgery – out for season on 60-day DL(8/12)
Johan Santana Recovery from left shoulder surgery on 60-day DL(6/2)
Matt Wieters Right elbow surgery – out for season on 60-day DL(5/11)
Chris Davis – Suspended

Free MoneyLine Pick

Detroit owned the Orioles this season winning 5 of the 6 matches, but keep in mind that all 6 games came before the middle of May. The Orioles not only finished with a better record they played better ball down the stretch going 36-19 compared to the Tigers 32-25 and hold the edge with the game being held at Camden Yards. Our take on the pitching matchup may surprise you, but we think that Baltimore has the edge with Tillman. The Orioles won 11 straight games that Tillman started including 9 in a row at home before losing to the Jays in Toronto in his last start. Scherzer has recorded a QS in just 2 of his last 6 road starts.

Take the Baltimore Orioles + 104‏

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