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Tennessee Volunteers vs. Florida Gators Point Spread Pick

Time: 1 PM EST Saturday March 15, 2014, ABC / ESPN3

Location: Georgia Dome, Atlanta, Georgia

The Tennessee Volunteers face the top-ranked Florida Gators in the semifinals of the SEC tournament.

In their last games: In the quarterfinals of the SEC tournament Florida beat Missouri 72-49 and Tennessee beat South Carolina 59-44.

In their win over Missouri Florida shot the ball well, but the main reason they won was their defense, which held the Tigers to a FG% of 36.4%.

Tennessee played great defense in their win over South Carolina holding the Gamecocks to 27.1% shooting from the floor.

Florida beat Tennessee twice this season with the most recent being a 67-58 road win.

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Here are some additional handicapping angles to ponder:

In the last 5 games between these 2 teams the total has gone Under 4 times.

Florida has the nation’s 6th ranked defense only giving up an average of 58.5 ppg.

The Gators have won 24 straight games and Tennessee has won 5 straight.

Florida has won its last 4 games by an average of 21.5 ppg.

Betting Odds

Point Spread: – Florida -6.5
Total Line: 124.5
Money Line: Volunteers +220 / Gators -260

Straight up and Against the Point Spread Records
Tennessee Volunteers: 21-11 SU 18-12 ATS
Florida Gators: 30-2 SU 15-12-1 ATS

Key Betting Trends
• TENN is 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games overall.
• TENN is 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games following a S.U. win.
• TENN has an Under record of 4-0 in their last 4 games.
• FLA is 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games overall.
• FLA is 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games following a ATS win.
• FLA has an Under record of 4-1 in tgeir last 5 vs. a team with a winning S.U. record.

Sagarin Power Rankings
Ohio State Buckeyes: 88.47
Michigan Wolverines: 89.60

Key Player Injuries

[G] 01/09/2014 – Robert Hubbs III out for season ( Shoulder )

[F] 12/21/2013 – Damontre Harris out for season ( Dismissed )
[G] 12/03/2013 – Eli Carter redshirt ( Leg )
[G] 11/20/2013 – Dillon Graham out for season ( Hip )

Point Spread Pick:

The Gators won and covered the two meetings this season with the lowest margin being 9, so many will be jumping on Florida here. We’re not taking a position on the Gators and instead will be putting our money on the Volunteers. The Vols have won their last 5 games by an average margin of 23 points and are one of the hottest teams in the country. They were a bit shaky yesterday playing nowhere near flawless basketball but they still won by 15 and may have been rusty with nearly a week off in between games. Florida may be the best team in the nation and should win this game, but covering the point spread may be a different story. Look for Tennessee to be in this throughout and keep the Gators from extending the margin.
Take the Tennessee Volunteers + 6.5.

Why waste money? Bet this game at and lay -105 instead of -110!

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