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NCAA Free ATS Pick: Tennessee Volunteers versus Michigan Wolverines

Time: 7:15 PM EST Friday March 28, 2014, CBS

Location: Lucas Oil Stadium, Indianapolis, Indiana

In a Sweet 16 match up in the Midwest Region the 11th seed Tennessee Volunteers face the 2nd seed Michigan Wolverines.

In their last games: Tennessee beat Mercer 83-63 and Michigan beat Texas 79-65.

In their win over Mercer Tennessee Jumped out to a 15-point halftime lead and for the game they shot 49.1% from the field and they grabbed 18 offensive rebounds.

In their win over Texas Michigan jumped out to a 13-point halftime lead and they played solid defense in the game holding the Longhorns to a FG% of 37.1%.

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Here are some additional handicapping angles to ponder:

Tennessee has won 8 of their last 9 games.

Michigan has won 9 of their last 10 games.

Michigan ended the season as the nation’s 7th ranked team and on the season Tennessee was 0-5 facing top 25 teams.

Betting Odds

Point Spread: Michigan -2.5
Total Line: 132
Money Line: Volunteers +110 / Wolverines -130

Straight up and Against the Point Spread Records
Tennessee Volunteers: 24-12 SU 21-13 ATS
Michigan Wolverines: 27-8 SU 18-14-1 ATS

Key Betting Trends
• UT is 7-1 ATS in their last 8 games.
• UT is 2-0 ATS in their 2 NCAA Tournament games this season.
• UT has an Under record of 6-2 in their last 8 games.
• MICH is 4-3 ATS in their last 7 games.
• MICH is 2-0 ATS in their 2 NCAA Tournament games this season
• MICH has an Over record of 7-3 in their last 10 games.

Sagarin Power Rankings
Tennessee Volunteers: 89.27
Michigan Wolverines: 89.97

Key Player Injuries

[G] 01/09/2014 – Robert Hubbs III out for season ( Shoulder )

[F] 12/27/2013 – Mitch McGary out indefinitely ( Back )

ATS Pick:

We know that both of these teams can play defense with the Volunteers ranked 17th and the Wolverinces 49th, so the ability to score against these defenses will be the key. Tennessee will have a big edge on the glass will have no problem putting points on the board. Michigan will need to have success from downtown and while Texas did pressure them they are more of a flail style defense and the Wolverines just waited them out to get good looks. That won’t be the case versus the Vols. Take Tennessee +2.5.

Why waste money? Bet this game at and lay -105 instead of -110!

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