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Tampa Bay Rays vs. Toronto Blue Jays Total Pick

Time: 707 PM EST Tuesday May 27, 2014

Location: Rogers Centre, Toronto, Ontario

The Toronto Blue Jays host the Tampa Bay Rays in an AL East match up.

In their last games: In Game 1 of this 3-game series yesterday the Blue Jays beat the Rays 10-5.

Yesterday against the Rays the Blue Jays won their 7th straight game overall and they banged out 10 runs on 16 hits.

This season the Blue Jays are 3-2 against the Rays.

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Here are some additional handicapping angles to ponder:

In the last 4 games between these 2 teams in Toronto the total has gone Over every time.

The Rays are 7-2 in Alex Cobb’s last 9 road starts.

The Blue Jays are 12-4 in Mark Buehrle’s last 16 home starts.

Buehrle can become the first 9-game winner in the Majors with a win tonight.

In their 7-game winning streak the Blue Jays are hitting .317 and have combined for 14 HR.

Pitching Match Up
Tampa Bay Rays: Alex Cobb (1-1, 1.40 ERA)
Toronto Blue Jays: Mark Buehrle (8-1, 2.16 ERA)

Betting Odds

Money Line: Rays +107 / Blue Jays -117
Run Line: Toronto -1.5 +165
Total Line: 8.5 Under -115

Straight up and Against the Point Spread Records
Tampa Bay Rays 23-29 SU / O/U 28-21 / Run Line W/L 19-33
Toronto Blue Jays: 30-22 SU / O/U 29-21 / Run Line W/L 32-20

Key Betting Trends
• TB is 4-1 in their last 5 overall.
• TB is 1-4 in their last 5 road games.
• TB has an Over record of 3-1-1 in their last 5 games.
• TOR is 5-0 in their last 5 home games.
• TOR is 17-5 in their last 22 overall.
• TOR has an Under record of 4-1 in their last 5 home games.

Key Player Injuries

Brandon Guyer OF D.L. May 26 thumb Out indefinitely
Ryan Hanigan C Out May 18 hamstring Status uncertain
Ben Zobrist 2B D.L. May 15 thumb May 30
Matt Moore SP D.L. Apr 8 elbow 2015
Jeremy Hellickson SP D.L. Mar 30 elbow Late June
Tim Beckham 2B D.L. Mar 30 knee Out indefinitely

Colby Rasmus OF D.L. May 15 hamstring Early June
Sergio Santos RP D.L. May 11 elbow Early June?
Brandon Morrow SP D.L. May 3 finger Mid-July?
Maicer Izturis 2B D.L. Apr 13 knee September?

Total Pick:

Alex Cobb was sharp in his return from a strained left oblique pitching 6 2/3 innings of shutout ball. Cobb has now not allowed a run in 21 2/3 innings. Historically some of the jays have done well against Cobb in limited at bats and they did get to him for 4 runs in 5 innings in his first start of the season. I believe the key is that 3 of those runs were in a shakey 1st inning and that on the season he has allowed 1 run in 25 2/3 since then. In his career he is 2-1 with a 2.95 ERA against the Blue Jays. Toronto starter Mark Buehrle is having a career season with an impressive 8-1 record with a miniscule 2.16 earned run average in 10 starts. He opened the season against the Rays allowing 4 hits and zero runs in 8 2/3 innings and has only one hiccup on the season. He has had quality starts in 3 out of his last 4 starts versus Tampa Bay including back to back. Both teams can give the scoreboard a workout, but I think the starting pitching is strong enough here to warrant a play on the under.
Take UNDER 8.5.

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