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Tampa Bay Rays vs. New York Yankees Moneyline Prediction

Time: 7 PM EST Monday June 30, 2014 ESPN

Location: Yankee Stadium, New York, New York

The New York Yankees host the Tampa Bay Rays in an American League match up.

In their last games: The Yankees lost to the Boston Red Sox 8-5 and the Rays beat the Baltimore Orioles 12-7.

In their loss to the Red Sox the Yankees have up 3 runs in the 3rd and 5th inning and overall gave up 8 runs on 12 hits.

Matt Joyce hit 2 HR and the Rays banged out 18 hits and 12 runs in their win over the Orioles.

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Here are some additional handicapping angles to ponder:

The Rays are 4-0 in Chris Archer’s last 4 starts against the Yankees.

In the last 7 games between these 2 teams the total has gone Over 5 times.

The Rays have won 5 of their last 6 games facing the Yankees in New York.

Pitching Match Up
Tampa Bay Rays: Chris Archer (4-5, 3.29 ERA)
New York Yankees: David Phelps (3-4, 4.35 ERA)

Betting Odds

Money Line: Rays +104 / Yankees -114
Run Line: NY Yankees -1.5 +175
Total Line: 8 over -120

Straight up and Against the Point Spread Records
Tampa Bay Rays: 35-49 SU / O/U 41-40 / Run Line W/L 30-54
New York Yankees: 41-39 SU / O/U 36-44 / Run Line W/L 40-40

Key Betting Trends
• TB is 4-1 in their last 5 road games.
• TB is 4-1 in their last 5 vs. a team with a winning record.
• TB has an Under record of 10-3 in their last 13 road games.
• NY is 2-6 in their last 8 overall.
• NY is 2-5 in their last 7 home games vs. a team with a losing record.
• NY has an Over record of 4-1 in their last 5 games following a loss.

Key Player Injuries

Yunel Escobar SS Out Jun 24 shoulder Day-to-day
Jerry Sands DH D.L. Jun 23 wrist Mid-July?
David DeJesus DH D.L. Jun 19 hand Mid-August?
Wil Myers OF D.L. Jun 1 wrist Early August?
Matt Moore SP D.L. Apr 8 elbow 2015
Jeremy Hellickson SP D.L. Mar 30 elbow Mid-July
Tim Beckham 2B D.L. Mar 30 knee Out indefinitely

CC Sabathia SP D.L. May 11 knee Mid-July?
Michael Pineda SP D.L. May 6 shoulder August?
Ivan Nova SP D.L. Apr 20 elbow 2015
Alex Rodriguez 3B Suspended Jan 13 Day-to-day

Moneyline Prediction:

Chris Archer has pitched extremely well since the middle of May holding 5 of his opponents to 1 or fewer runs in 8 starts overall. He did struggle earlier in the season on the road with Boston and Baltimore lighting him up, but he pitched well enough to win in 3 of his 4 road starts since Red Sox game. This will be his 5th career start versus the Yankees who he has dominated going 4-0 with a 1.26 ERA. David Phelps got pounded for 6 runs in 5 innings in his last start; his 2nd poor outing in his last 4 games although both were on the road. He does pitch well at home with a 2.42 ERA over 22 1/3 innings while going 2-1. I really Tampa bay in this spot with in my opinion the better pitcher and the team whose batters who have finally awakened tallying 5 or greater runs in 7 of their last 9 games.
Take Tampa Bay +104.

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