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Tampa Bay Rays vs. Baltimore Orioles Total Prediction

Time: 7:05 PM EST Monday April 14, 2014 MASN

Location: Oriole Park at Camden Yards, Baltimore, Maryland

The Baltimore Orioles host the Tampa Bay Rays in an American League East match up.

In their last games: The Rays lost to the Cincinnati Reds 12-4 and the Orioles lost to the Toronto Blue Jays 11-3.

In their loss to the Reds the Rays gave up 7 runs in the first 3 innings and for the game gave up 13 hits.

In their loss to the Blue Jays the Orioles gave up 17 hits in the game and 5 runs in the 6th inning.

This is the first series between these 2 teams this season.

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Here are some additional handicapping angles to ponder:

The Rays are 4-0 in their last 4 games against the Orioles.

The Rays are 5-1 in Chris Archer’s last 6 starts.

Archer went 1-0 with a 3.97 ERA in 2 starts last season against Baltimore

The Orioles are 6-1 in Wei-Yin Chen’s last 7 home starts facing a team with a winning record.

Pitching Match Up
Tampa Bay Rays: Chris Archer (1-0 1.38 ERA)
Baltimore Orioles: Wei-Yin Chen (1-1 8.75 ERA)

Betting Odds

Money Line: Rays -112 / Orioles +102
Run Line: Tampa Bay -1.5 +140
Total Line: 8 Over(-120)

Straight up and Against the Point Spread Records
Tampa Bay Rays: 7-6 SU / O/U 6-7 / Run Line W/L 3-10
Baltimore Orioles: 6-7 SU / O/U 5-7 / Run Line W/L 5-7

Key Betting Trends
• TB is 20-7 in their last 27 games as a favorite.
• TB is 3-8 in their last 11 vs. a team with a losing record.
• TB has an Under record of 5-2 in their last 7 games.
• BAL is 5-2 in their last 7 vs. a team with a winning record.
• BAL is 1-4 in their last 5 home games.
• BAL has an Under record of 5-1 in their last 6 home games.

Key Player Injuries

Manny Machado 3B D.L. Mar 30 knee Early May
Michael Almanzar 3B D.L. Mar 30 knee Out indefinitely
Nolan Reimold DH D.L. Mar 30 neck Out indefinitely
Francisco Peguero OF D.L. Mar 30 wrist Late April?
Edgmer Escalona RP D.L. Mar 30 shoulder Out indefinitely
Troy Patton RP Suspended Dec 20 Late April

Alex Cobb SP D.L. Apr 13 ribs Mid-May?
Matt Moore SP D.L. Apr 8 elbow Status uncertain
Jeremy Hellickson SP D.L. Mar 30 elbow Late May
Juan Carlos Oviedo RP D.L. Mar 30 elbow Mid-April
Tim Beckham 2B D.L. Mar 30 knee Out indefinitely

Total Prediction:

Rays starter Chris Archer has looked sharp this season with two quality starts allowing two runs over 13 innings. Last season Tampa won both of his starts versus Baltimore in mixed outings pitching a combined 11.1 innings while allowing 5 runs. The Orioles send Wei-Yin Chen to the mound who has been not been himself in 2 starts this season allowing 21 hits and 8 earned runs in 10.2 innings. He’ll look to get back on track against Tampa Bay who he has had a lot of success against in the past with 5 of his last 7 QS and 6 straight holding the Rays to 2 or fewer runs.
Neither one of these team has been hitting well with the Rays really struggling at the plate with 13 runs scored in their last 7 games. Baltimore did ring up the Yanks’ pitchers for 21 runs in 3 games, but had their bats quieted by the Jays with 5 runs in their last 3.
Take the Under 8 +100.

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