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St. Louis Cardinals vs. Washington Nationals Run Line Pick

Time: 7:05 PM EST Thursday April 17, 2014 MLBN

Location: Nationals Park, Washington, D.C

The Washington Nationals host the St. Louis Cardinals in a National League match up.

In their last games: The Nationals beat the Miami Marlins 6-3 and the Cardinals lost to the Milwaukee Brewers 5-1.

In their win over the Marlins Jayson Werth hit a game tying 3-run HR in the 6th inning and then scored 3 more in the 8th inning.

In their loss to the Brewers the Cardinals gave up 3 runs in the 5th inning and for the game left 8 men on base.

This is the first meeting between these 2 teams this season.

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Here are some additional handicapping angles to ponder:

In the last 6 games between these 2 teams the Under record is 5-0-1.

The Cardinals are 4-0 in their last 4 games against the Nationals in Washington and have won 7 straight against them overall.

The Cardinals are 4-1 in Wainwright’s last 5 starts against the Nationals.

The Nationals are 4-1 in Jordan’s last 5 home starts.

Pitching Match Up
St. Louis Cardinals: Adam Wainwright (2-1, 2.57 ERA)
Washington Nationals: Taylor Jordan (0-1, 4.76 ERA)

Betting Odds

Money Line: Cardinals -136 / Nationals +126
Run Line: St. Louis -1.5 +115
Total Line: 7 Under(-120)

Straight up and Against the Point Spread Records
St. Louis Cardinals: 9-6 SU / O/U 7-7 / Run Line W/L 8-7
Washington Nationals: 8-6 SU / O/U 10-4 / Run Line W/L 8-6

Key Betting Trends
• STL is 4-1 in their last 5 overall.
• STL is 35-16 in their last 51 games as a favorite.
• STL has an Under record of 4-0-1 in their last 5 road games.
• WASH is 20-8 in their last 28 home games.
• WASH is 3-9 in their last 12 games as an underdog.
• WASH has an Over record of 8-0 in their last 8 games.

Key Player Injuries

CARDINALS
Joe Kelly SP Out Apr 16 hamstring Late April?
Jason Motte RP D.L. Mar 30 elbow Early May
Jaime Garcia SP D.L. Mar 30 shoulder Out indefinitely

NATIONALS
Bryce Harper OF Out Apr 16 quadriceps Day-to-day
Ryan Zimmerman 3B D.L. Apr 13 thumb Mid-May?
Jeff Kobernus OF D.L. Apr 13 hand Out indefinitely
Denard Span OF D.L. Apr 12 concussion April 19?
Scott Hairston OF D.L. Apr 6 ribs Late April?
Wilson Ramos C D.L. Apr 2 hand Mid-May
Doug Fister SP D.L. Mar 29 shoulder Early May?
Ross Ohlendorf RP D.L. Mar 26 back Late May?
Erik Davis RP D.L. Feb 13 elbow 2015

Run Line Pick:

Adam Wainwright gets the call for the Cardinals tonight against the Nationals. Wainwright has been sharp for the most part this season especially on the road where he has pitched 14 innings of 8 hit ball allowing a combined two runs. He had his way with Washington in 2013 in two starts allowing 3 runs in 15.1 innings. The Nationals counter with Taylor Jordan who was lit up by the Braves for 5 runs in 5 innings in his latest. This will be his first start against St. Louis. I was expecting a line in the -120 range, but at -130 it goes against my MLB betting philosophy. Jordan may have a solid outing, however he is unlikely to get past the 6th based on his career numbers so the run line has some added value. Take the St. Louis Cardinals -1.5 Runs (+115).

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