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St. Louis Cardinals vs. Milwaukee Brewers Total Pick

Time: 8:10 PM EST Thursday September 4, 2014 FSWI

Location: Miller Park, Milwaukee, Wisconsin

The Milwaukee Brewers host the St. Louis Cardinals in a National League Central match up.

In their last games: The Cardinals beat the Pittsburgh Pirates 1-0 and ths Brewers lost to the Chicago Cubs 6-2.

St. Louis’ Peter Bourjos drove in the winning run in the 9th inning in the Cardinals 1-0 win over the Pirates.

Milwaukee starter Matt Garza gave up 6 earned runs in the 6-2 loss to the Cubs.

The Cardinals are 7-5 against the Brewers this season.

Here are some additional handicapping angles to ponder:

The Cardinals are 0-8 in Michael Wacha’s last 8 road starts.

The Brewers are 4-1 in Wily Peralta’s last 5 home starts.

The Brewers are 4-0 in Peralta’s last 4 starts vs. Cardinals.

The Cardinals are 20-8 in the last 28 games in Milwaukee.

With the Brewers losing 8 straight and the Cardinals winning 5 in a row St. Louis now has a 3-game lead over Milwaukee in the NL Central.

Pitching Match Up

St. Louis: Michael Wacha (5-5, 2.79 ERA)
Milwaukee: Wily Peralta (15-9, 3.82 ERA)

Money Line: Cardinals -102 / Brewers -108
Run Line: Cardinals -1.5 +145
Total Line: Under 8.5 -105

Straight up and Against the Point Spread Records

St. Louis Cardinals: 75-63 SU / O/U 64-67 / Run Line W/L 58-80
Milwaukee Brewers: 73-65 SU / O/U 67-67 / Run Line W/L 68-73

Key Betting Trends

• STL is 5-0 in their last 5 overall.
• STL is 2-5 in their last 7 road games vs. a team with a winning record.
• STL has an Over record of 4-1 in their last 5 games.
• MIL is 0-8 in their last 8 overall.
• MIL is 1-6 in their last 7 vs. a team with a winning record.
• MIL has an Over record of 5-2 in their last 7 vs. a team with a winning record.

Key Player Injuries

CARDINALS

Jaime Garcia Left shoulder surgery – out for season on 60-day DL(6/21)
Shane Robinson Left shoulder surgery – out for season on 15-day DL(8/26)
Michael Wacha Stress reaction, right shoulder on 60-day DL(6/18

BREWERS

Jeff Bianchi Strained right elbow on 60-day DL(7/13)
Carlos Gomez Left game – left wrist soreness day-to-day(8/31)
Jim Henderson Right shoulder inflammation on 60-day DL(5/2)
Tyler Thornburg Right elbow soreness – out for season on 60-day DL(6/7)

MLB Total Pick

Cardinals’ starter Michael returns from a shoulder injury for his first MLB start since June 17. Brewers’ starter Willy Peralta has been dreadful in his last getting ripped for 14 runs in 8 innings. Both starters have had success against their opponent but have a lot to prove tonight. There is some risk counting on Milwaukee for some runs to help this total along with the Brew Crew’s lack of scoring in their last 8 scoring 2 or fewer runs in 6 of their last 8 contests, but St. Louis may be able to put 7 or 8 themselves if Peralta does not return to form.

Play on the OVER 8.5 -115‏

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