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St. Louis Cardinals vs. Pittsburgh Pirates Over Under Pick

Time: 7:05 PM EST Saturday April 5, 2014

Location: PNC Park, Pittsburgh, Pennsylvania

The Pittsburgh Pirates host the St. Louis Cardinals in a National League Central match up.

In their last games: In the first game of this series the Pirates beat the Cardinals 12-2.

Pittsburgh’s Pedro Alvarez hit 2 HR and the Pirates scored 9 runs in innings 6-8 in the easy win over the Cardinals.

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Here are some additional handicapping angles to ponder:

In the last 5 games between these 2 teams in Pittsburgh the total has gone Over 4 times.

The Pirates are 9-3 in their last 12 home games against the Cardinals.

The Pirates are 4-0 in Francisco Liriano’s last 4 starts against the Cardinals.

Last season Liriano was 9-1 with a 1.46 ERA at home.

The Cardinals are 11-4 in Joe Kelly’s last 15 starts.

Pitching Match Up
St. Louis Cardinals: Joe Kelly (0-0 0.00 ERA)
Pittsburgh Pirates: Francisco Liriano (0-0 0.00 ERA)

Betting Odds

Money Line: Cardinals +127 / Pirates -137
Run Line: Pittsburgh -1.5 +165
Total Line: 7 Under (-125)

Straight up and Against the Point Spread Records

Pittsburgh Pirates: 2-2 SU / O/U 2-2 / Run Line W/L 1-3
St. Louis Cardinals: 3-1 SU / O/U 1-2 / Run Line W/L 1-3

Key Betting Trends
• STL is 2-5 in their last 7 overall.
• STL is 1-4 in their last 5 games as an underdog.
• STL has an Over record of 3-1-1 in their last 5 games as a road underdog.
• PITT is 9-4 in their last 13 overall.
• PITT is 5-2 in their last 7 home games.
• PITT has an Under record of 3-1-1 in their last 5 home games.

Key Player Injuries

[P] 03/28/2014 – Jason Motte 15-day DL (3/21) ( Elbow )
[P] 03/30/2014 – Jaime Garcia 15-day DL (3/21) ( Shoulder )
[2B] 03/31/2014 – Mark Ellis 15-day DL (3/27) ( Knee )

[P] 04/04/2014 – Charlie Morton is upgraded to probable for next start ( Thumb )
[P] 03/30/2014 – Jeff Locke 15-day DL (3/21) ( Side )
[C] 03/30/2014 – Chris Stewart 15-day DL (3/21) ( Knee )

Over/Under Total Pick:

The over bettors have been cashing in at the windows over the last 2 day going 16-7-1 . We’re going to go against that trend here with 2 quality starters in this match up. Pirates starter Francisco Liriano went 6 innings in his season opener giving up 4 hits, no runs with 10 K’s. This is Joe Kelly’s first start in 2014. Last season in the last 3 games he faced the Pirates he gave up 4 runs in 17 innings pitched. Take Under 7 runs.

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