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San Francisco Giants vs. Cincinnati Reds Total Pick

Time: 12:35 PM EST Thursday June 5, 2014

Location: Great American Ball Park, Cincinnati, Ohio

The Cincinnati Reds host the San Francisco Giants in a National League match up.

In their last games: In Game 2 of this 3-game series yesterday the Giants beat the Reds 3-2.

Yesterday Juan Perez and Michael Morse both hit HR with 2 outs in the 6th inning to give the Giants the lead and the pitching held the Reds scoreless for the rest of the game in the San Francisco win.

These 2 teams have split the first 2 games of this series, which is the first time these two teams have faced each other this season.

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Here are some additional handicapping angles to ponder:

The Reds are 7-1 in their last 8 games against the Giants.

The Reds are 5-1 in Mike Leake’s last 6 starts against the Giants.

The Giants are 1-4 in Madison Bumgarner’s last 5 starts against the Reds.

The Giants are 7-2 in Bumgarner’s last 9 road starts.

Pitching Match Up
San Francisco Giants: Madison Bumgarner (7-3, 2.85 ERA)
Cincinnati Reds: Mike Leake (3-4, 2.92 ERA)

Betting Odds

Money Line: Giants -127 / Reds +117
Run Line: San Francisco -1.5 +135
Total Line: 7 Over -125

Straight up and Against the Point Spread Records
San Francisco Giants: 37-21 SU / O/U 27-29 / Run Line W/L 31-27
Cincinnati Reds: 27-29 SU / O/U 25-29 / Run Line W/L 31-25

Key Betting Trends
• SF is 9-3 in their last 12 overall.
• SF is 8-2 in their last 10 road games vs. a team with a winning home record
• SF has an Over record of 4-1 in their last 5 games.
• CINCY is 4-1 in their last 5 games as an underdog.
• CINCY is 6-1 in their last 7 home games vs. a team with a winning road record.
• CINCY has an Under record of 7-2 in their last 9 games as a home underdog.

Key Player Injuries

Matt Cain SP D.L. May 31 hamstring June 6
Santiago Casilla RP D.L. May 22 hamstring Late June?
Brandon Belt 1B D.L. May 10 hand Late-June
Marco Scutaro 2B D.L. Mar 29 back Out indefinitely

Joey Votto 1B D.L. May 21 quadriceps Early June?
Trevor Bell RP D.L. Apr 8 elbow Late April?
Mat Latos SP D.L. Mar 30 elbow Early June?
Jack Hannahan 3B D.L. Mar 30 shoulder Out indefinitely
Brett Marshall SP D.L. Mar 30 finger Out indefinitely

Total Pick:

Lefty Madison Bumgarner hasn’t fared well against the Reds in the past with his team losing 4 of his 5 starts. However, he hasn’t faced them since 2012 and has good back numbers against the current line-up excluding Brandon Phillips who is 3 for 7. He’s a cool 4-1 with a 1.59 ERA on the road this season. Mike Leake takes the mound for Cincinnati and while he hasn’t dominated the Giants’ batters over his career he has kept the score down allowing 1 or fewer runs in 4 of his last 5 starts vs. them. He has been sharp at home this season with a 100% quality start ratio pitching 28 2/3 innings with an ERA of 2.51. He’s only 1-2 at home as he received poor run support with 1 or fewer runs in 3 of his 4 home starts. Don’t look for that to change today in what should be a pitcher’s matchup.
Take the UNDER 7 +110.

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