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San Francisco 49ers vs. Tampa Bay Buccaneers Total Prediction

Time: 1:00 PM EST Sunday December 8, 2013, Fox

Rookie QB Mike Glennon and the Buccaneers take on the San Francisco 49ers in a NFC conference match-up this Sunday in Tampa Bay. The Bucs have won 4 of their last 5 games after losing their first 8 in row to kick off the 2013/14 season. The 49ers have a 3 game winning streak of their own heading into this tilt and their defense has only allowed 36 point combined in those 3 games.

In their last games the 49ers beat NFC conference leading Seattle Seahawks 19-17 at home as a 2.5 point favorite. The Buccaneers got back on the winning track with a easy 27-6 win over the Buffalo Bills at home as a 3 point point favorite.

In their last meeting the San Francisco 49ers pounded the Buccaneers 48-3 on Oct 9/11 at home as a 2.5 point favorite. The 49ers have won 3 out of their last 4 meeting.

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The home team has covered the spread in 7 out of their last 8 times these 2 teams faced each other.

These 2 teams have gone under the posted total in 6 out of their last 8 meetings.

This season Tampa Bay is 3-4 at home and San Francisco is 4-2 on the road.

Betting Odds at
Point Spread: San Francisco -5
Over/Under Total Line: 41
Moneyline: 49ers -230 / Buccaneers +190

Straight up and Against the Point Spread Records
San Francisco 49ers: 9-4 SU 9-4 ATS
Tampa Bay Buccaneers: 4-9 SU 6-7 ATS

Key Betting Trends
• SF is 4-0 ATS vs. a team with a losing record.
• SF is 5-0 ATS in their last 5 road games.
• SF is 8-3 ATS in their last 11 vs. NFC.
• TB is 5-1 ATS in their last 5 games overall.
• TB is 6-2-1 ATS vs. a team with a winning record.
• TB is 13-28-1 ATS in their last 42 home games.

Sagarin Power Rankings
San Francisco 49ers: 27.58
Tampa Bay Buccaneers: 17.45

Key Player Injuries

49ERS
[RB] 12/13/2013 – Frank Gore Prob Sunday (Ankle)
[WR] 12/12/2013 – Michael Crabtree Prob Sunday (Ankle)
[WR] 12/9/2013 – Quinton Patton Ques Sunday (Foot)
[TE] 12/9/2013 – Garrett Celek Ques Sunday (Hamstring)
[CB] 12/9/2013 – Tarell Brown Doub Sunday (Ribs)
[G] 12/9/2013 – Mike Iupati Ques Sunday (Knee)
[T] 12/9/2013 – Joe Staley Ques Sunday (Knee)
[DT] 12/12/2013 – Cornellius Carradine I-R (Knee)
[RB] 12/7/2013 – Marcus Lattimore I-R (Knee)
[CB] 10/7/2013 – Chris Culliver I-R (Knee)
[NT] 10/7/2013 – Ian Williams I-R (Ankle)

BUCCANEERS
[WR] 12/12/2013 – Vincent Jackson Prob Sunday (Hamstring)
[C] 12/13/2013 – Jeremy Zuttah Ques Sunday (Shoulder)
[DT] 12/9/2013 – Gary Gibson Ques Sunday (Calf)
[G] 11/17/2013 – Carl Nicks Out indefinitely (Foot)
[RB] 11/12/2013 – Mike James Out for the season (Knee)
[K] 9/2/2013 – Lawrence Tynes Out indefinitely (Infection)
[LB] 12/5/2013 – Jonathan Casillas I-R (Knee)
[LB] 11/27/2013 – Tom Crabtree I-R (Bicep)
[CB] 11/18/2013 – Michael Adams I-R (Knee)
[RB] 11/8/2013 – Doug Martin I-R (Shoulder)
[WR] 10/28/2013 – Mike Williams I-R (Hamstring)
[CB] 10/15/2013 – Rashaan Melvin I-R (Hamstring)
[K] 10/7/2013 – Connor Barth I-R (Achilles)
[TE] 10/2/2013 – Nate Byham I-R (Knee)
[TE] 9/29/2013 – Luke Stocker I-R (Hip)
[LB] 9/9/2013 – Jacob Cutrera I-R (Ankle)

Next Game on Deck
Atlanta @ San Francisco
Tampa Bay @ St. Louis

Over Under Pick : San Francisco has averaged 24 points on the season, but they’ve averaged a lower 19.6 in their last 5. The 49ers have won 8 of 10 with their defense being the main standout allowing an average of 10 points per game. The Buccaneers have won 4 of 5 putting up an average of 24 points on the board. The offense has averaged only 271 yards over that stretch with 3 of the 5 games being 246 or fewer yards. It’s been Tamp Bay’s defense that has stepped up with the team having a plus 11 turnover margin over their last 5. Their opponent this week does not turn the ball over very often and has not lost the turnover battle two times this season and not since Week 3 versus the Colts.
Taking a position on a side play and backing the 49ers may be the way to go, but our money will be going on an under the total pick.
Take the Under 41 at and get reduced juice on every play.

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