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San Francisco 49ers vs. New Orleans Saints Point Spread Pick

Time: 1 PM EST Sunday November 9, 2014, FOX

The 49ers come into this game off of two consecutive losses and are starting to dig themselves a hole falling three games behind NFC West leading Arizona and have three teams ahead of them for the Wildcat spots.

New Orleans has won two consecutive games and three out of their last 4 and if not for a late collapse against the Lions they’d be riding a 4 game win streak. While the Saints have the identical 4-4 record as the 49ers they are in a much better position being in the NFL South where they are the division leaders.

On the betting front San Francisco has not been kind to their backers covering the spread in just three of their eight games this season. New Orleans is 4-4 on the season after a disastrous start has covered three straight. Versus the over/under line the 49ers are 3-5 while the Saints have been a cash cow for over betters with a 6-2 record.

These two NFC teams met three times in the last two seasons with San Francisco winning two of the games but New Orleans won last year’s battle 23-20.

In their last games the Saints beat the Carolina Panthers 28-10 and the 49ers lost to the St. Louis Rams 13-10.

This season the Saints are 3-0 at home and the 49ers are 2-2 on the road.

Betting Odds
Point Spread: Saints -4.5
Over/Under Total Line: 49
Moneyline: 49ers +185 / Saints -225

Straight up and Against the Point Spread Records
San Francisco 49ers: 4-4 SU 4-4 ATS
New Orleans Saints: 4-4 SU 4-4 ATS

Key Betting Trends
• SF is 10-4 ATS in their last 14 road games.
• SF is 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games against the Saints.
• SF has an Under record of 8-3 in their last 11 games.
• NO is 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games following a S.U. win.
• NO is 35-16 ATS in their last 51 home games.
• NO has an Over record of 4-1 in their last 5 games.

Sagarin Power Rankings
San Francisco 49ers: 23.56
New Orleans Saints: 23.73

Key Player Injuries

49ERS
[LB] 09/04/2014 – Aldon Smith expected to miss weeks 1-10 of regular season ( Suspension )
[T] 09/04/2014 – Brandon Thomas out indefinitely ( Knee )
[LB] 09/04/2014 – NaVorro Bowman out indefinitely ( Knee )
[FB] 09/04/2014 – Trey Millard out indefinitely ( Knee )
[CB] 09/04/2014 – Keith Reaser out indefinitely ( Knee )
[RB] 09/04/2014 – Kendall Hunter IR ( Knee )
[RB] 09/04/2014 – Marcus Lattimore out for season ( Knee )
[LB] 11/02/2014 – Patrick Willis “?” Sunday vs. New Orleans ( Toe )
[CB] 11/02/2014 – Tramaine Brock “?” Sunday vs. New Orleans ( Toe )
[WR] 11/02/2014 – Brandon Lloyd injured last game, “?” Sunday vs. New Orleans ( Hamstring )
[LB] 11/02/2014 – Dan Skuta injured last game, “?” Sunday vs. New Orleans ( Ankle )
[S] 11/01/2014 – Jimmie Ward probable Sunday vs. St. Louis ( Quad )
[CB] 10/25/2014 – Chris Cook IR ( Hamstring )
[CB] 09/23/2014 – Kenneth Acker IR ( Undisclosed )
[G] 10/20/2014 – Daniel Kilgore IR ( Knee )
[NT] 09/23/2014 – Glenn Dorsey IR ( Bicep )

SAINTS
[RB] 10/21/2014 – Pierre Thomas expected to miss 2-3 weeks ( Ribs )
[DE] 10/23/2014 – Glenn Foster IR ( Knee )
[DB] 09/23/2014 – A.J. Davis IR ( Undisclosed )
[WR] 09/23/2014 – Andy Tanner IR ( Ankle )
[DB] 09/23/2014 – Ty Zimmerman IR ( Undisclosed )
[S] 10/04/2014 – Jairus Byrd IR ( Knee )
[LB] 09/23/2014 – Khairi Fortt IR ( Undisclosed )
[NT] 09/04/2014 – John Jenkins out indefinitely ( Pectoral )
[RB] 11/02/2014 – Khiry Robinson “?” Sunday vs. San Francisco ( Forearm )
[LB] 11/02/2014 – David Hawthorne “?” Sunday vs. San Francisco ( Hand )
[FB] 11/02/2014 – Austin Johnson “?” Sunday vs. San Francisco ( Knee )

Next Game
Saints vs. Bengals
49ers @ New York Giants

Free Point Spread Selection

The 49ers appear to be a mess while the Saints are on a roll and should easily be able to extend the margin on the far from healthy SF defense. Lay the 6 points in what should be an easy victory for the home side.

Take the New Orleans Saints -6‏

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