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San Francisco 49ers vs. Carolina Panthers Over Under Pick

Time: 1:05 PM EST January 12, 2014, FOX

Location: Bank of America Stadium (Grass)

The San Francisco 49ers visit the Carolina Panthers in NFC Divisional betting.

In their last games the San Francisco 49ers needed a last second field goal to pull out a hard fought 23-20 road win over the Packers. The Carolina Panthers had a bye week.

These two clubs met back in Week 10 in San Francisco with the Panthers getting the 10-9 win. Defense was the name of the game with the 49ers managing a paltry 151 total yards. The Panthers offense was better, but wasn’t anything to write home about with 250 total yards.

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Carolina has won the last 4 in this series; however those 4 games were played over 9 seasons.

Last week’s win was the 49ers 7 straight a stretch that saw them go 4-2-1 against the spread. On the season San Francisco is 10-5-2 ATS while Carolina is 9-6-1.

The Panthers are 7-1 straight up and ATS at home this season with their only loss coming in Week 1 versus the Seahawks. The 49ers are 6-2 straight up and 6-1-2 against the line.

Betting Odds

Point Spread: San Francisco -3 (+120)
Over/Under Total Line: 42

Straight up and Against the Point Spread Records

San Francisco 49ers: 13-4 SU / 11-5-1 ATS
Carolina Panthers: 12-4 SU / 9-6 ATS

Key Betting Trends

  • SF is 5-0 ATS in their last 5 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.
  • SF is 4-1 ATS in their last 5 Divisional Playoffs games.
  • SF has gone under the total in 4 of their last 5 playoff road games.
  • SF is 18-7-1 ATS in their last 26 road games./li>
  • CAR is 6-0-1 ATS in their last 7 home games.
  • CAR is 4-1 ATS vs. a team with a winning record.
  • CAR is 8-3-1 ATS in their last 12 games overall.
  • The total has gone under in 8 of Carolina’s last 9 games.

Sagarin Power Rankings

San Francisco 49ers: 29.36
Carolina Panthers: 28.48

Key Player Injuries

49ERS
[WR] 12/18/2014 – Jonathan Baldwin Ques Sunday (Illness)
[CB] 1/5/2014 – Carlos Rogers Ques Sunday (Hamstring)
[CB] 1/5/2014 – Eric Wright Ques Sunday (Hamstring)
[LB] 1/5/2014 – Dan Skuta Ques Sunday (Foot)
[FB] 1/1/2014 – Bruce Miller Out indefinitely (Arm)
[WR] 12/27/2013 – Mario Manningham Out for the season (Knee)
[DT] 12/12/2013 – Cornellius Carradine I-R (Knee)
[RB] 12/7/2013 – Marcus Lattimore I-R (Knee)
[CB] 10/7/2013 – Chris Culliver I-R (Knee)
[NT] 10/7/2013 – Ian Williams I-R (Ankle)

PANTHERS
[TE] 1/5/2014 – Ben Hartsock Prob Sunday (Knee)
[WR] 1/9/2014 – Steve Smith Ques Sunday (Knee)
[RB] 12/31/2013 – Jonathan Stewart Ques Sunday (Knee)
[DT] 12/29/2013 – Colin Cole Sunday (Calf)
[G] 12/15/2013 – Chris Scott Out Sunday (Knee)
[CB] 11/15/2013 – James Dockery I-R (Shoulder)
[C] 11/5/2013 – Jeff Byers I-R (Foot)
[G] 10/16/2013 – Amini Silatolu I-R (Knee)
[S] 9/17/2013 – Charles Godfrey I-R (Achilles)
[T] 9/11/2013 – Garry Williams I-R (Knee)

Over/Under Pick:

These two teams played in Week 10 and amassed a combined total of 401 yards and 19 points. The 49ers passed for a total of 46 yards and we do think that total will increase this week. The addition of Michael Crabtree will make a difference, but we don’t expect a San Francisco team that has exceeded 215 yards through the air in only 1 of their last 5 games to exploit the Panthers. We also see no logical reason why Carolina would have an offensive explosion this week.

Here some numbers to consider. The Panthers finished No. 2 is scoring defense with 15.1 points per game allowed followed directly by the 49ers that were 3rd at 19.1 PPG. Both of these teams were in the top 4 for rushing defense, top 4 for turnover margin, top 10 for passing defense and top 10 for time of possession.

Both of these teams got here because of their defense. No reason to think that will change this week.

Take the UNDER 42 at and get up to a 50% Bonus.

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