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San Diego vs. Denver Point Spread Pick

Opening Line: Broncos -7.5
Over/Under: 50.5

Time: 8:25 PM EST Thursday October 23, 2014 on CBS / NFL

The Chargers had their 5-game winning streak snapped in their last game and this Thursday night they head to the Mile High City where they can take over first place in the AFC West with a win over the Broncos. However, Denver is coming off a more than impressive blowout win against the San Francisco 49ers and they are the 7.5-point home betting favorite.

The Broncos have won 3 straight and Peyton Manning leads an offense that has averaged 38 ppg in their 3-game winning streak. The Chargers did beat the Seahawks and then Bills to begin their 5-game winning streak, but their next 3 games came against teams that have 2 combined wins this season.

Last season the Chargers lost at home to the Broncos, but beat them in Denver.

The Chargers are 5-2 ATS and they have an Over/Under record of 3-4 and the Broncos are 3-3 ATS and they have an Over/Under record of 4-2.

This season the Broncos are 4-0 at home and the Chargers are 2-1 on the road.

In the rout of the 49ers Peyton Manning became the all-time leader in TD’s and for the game passed for 318 yards with 4 TD and 0 INT. Demaryius Thomas had 171 receiving yards in the game and leads the solid WR corps. The Chargers have the league’s 3rd ranked pass defense, but in their last couple games their secondary has been decent at best. They did come up with 3 sacks in the Kansas City loss and getting to Peyton Manning in the pocket will be key for them.

The Broncos used a balanced attack to beat the 49ers, as they also rushed for 115 yards. Ronnie Hillman has played well in the last 2 games taking over for the injured Montee Ball and in the win over San Francisco he averaged over 5 yards per carry and rushed for 74 yards. One of the main reasons the Chargers lost to KC is that they could not stop the run allowing the Chiefs to gain 154 rushing yards.

Phillip Rivers was hot in the San Diego win streak, but did not have a big game against Kansas City with 205 passing yards with 2 TD and 1 INT. TE Antonio Gates and WR Keenan Allen were the top 2 targets in the game and will be counted on to make plays this Thursday night. The Denver pass defense ranks 18th in the league and they gave up 253 passing yards in the San Francisco win.

The offensive line of the Chargers will be facing a Denver pass rush that had 6 sacks against the 49ers and ranks 3rd in the league in sacks. Von Miller leads the NFL with 8 sacks and he and DeMarcus Ware will come after Rivers all game.

The Broncos rank 3rd in the league in run defense and that unit was great in the 49ers win holding Frank Gore to only 20 rushing yards. Rookie Braden Oliver was decent in the Chiefs game and he has to take some pressure off Rivers.

Betting Trends

The Chargers are 7-2 ATS in their last 9 games overall, 6-1 ATS in their last 7 road games, and they have an Under record of 5-1 in their last 6 road games.

The Broncos are 7-3 ATS in their last 10 games after scoring more than 30 points in their previous game, 5-1 ATS in their last 6 Thursday games, and they have an Over record of 4-1 in their last 5 games following a SU win of more than 14 points.

The Chargers are 7-0-4 ATS in their last 11 games in Denver.

Free Point Spread Pick

The line keeps climbing with bushels of Broncos money coming in. We’re not going to follow the money and take an anti-public play. The Chargers have a lot injuries, but this is a divisional game and we’ll take the dog in a series that doesn’t have a game decided by more than 9 points in 8 straight match-ups.

Take the San Diego Chargers +9‏

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