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San Antonio Spurs vs. L.A. Clippers Prediction and Betting Pick

San Antonio Spurs vs. L.A. Clippers Prediction. The 58-28 L.A. Clippers host the 57-29 San Antonio Spurs in Game 5 of a Western Conference playoff series on 4/28/2015 at STAPLES Center, Los Angeles, CA; Tipoff is at 10:30 PM ET.

Wagering Odds

Point Spread: Clippers -2
Over/Under Total Line: 205

In Game 4 of this series in San Antonio the Clippers Spurs lost to the Clippers 114-106 where they failed to cover as a 6-point favorite. The Spurs had covered the spread in the previous 2 games of the series. The total for Game 1 went Over while the Under was the previous winning bet. In their last 10 games San Antonio is 5-5 ATS and they have an O/U record of 5-5.

This season the Spurs are 22-19-2 ATS at home and 21-22 ATS on the road. San Antonio covered the spread in their last road game in Game 2 in this series, but failed to do so in their previous 3 games away from home. They have an O/U home record of 24-19 and an O/U road record of 17-26. In 3 of their last 4 road games the posted total has gone Over including their last one.

The Clippers evened the series with their Game 4 win at home where they covered the spread. They had not covered the spread in their previous 2 games. In this series the total has gone Over twice and Under twice with the Over being the winning bet in the last game. Overall, the Clippers are 3-6-1 ATS and they have an O/U record of 3-7.

The Clippers have not been a great betting team at home this season at 17-26 ATS and on the road they are 22-20-1 ATS. The Clippers have only covered the spread in 1 of their last 7 home games and the one game they did cover was in Game 1 of this series. On the season the Under has been the winning bet for the Clippers at home where they have an O/U record of 15-26-2 while on the road they have an O/U record of 23-19-1. However, in their last home game the posted total went Over and in the previous 4 games the Under was the winning wager.

These teams have not only split the 4 games of this series, but they also split the 4 regular season match ups. In this series the Clippers have covered the spread in Games 1 and 4 and the Spurs covered in Games 2 and 3. In the 8 games between these 2 teams this season, including this series the O/U record is 4-4.



Some other angles to consider:

In the last 7 games between these 2 teams in L.A. the total has gone Over 5 times.

The underdog is 12-4 ATS in the last 16 games between these 2 teams.

This season the Clippers are 31-12 at home and the Spurs are 23-20 on the road.

SU and ATS Records

San Antonio Spurs: 57-29 SU / 43-41-2 ATS
L.A. Clippers: 58-28 SU / 39-46-1 ATS

Key Betting Trends

• SA is 2-5 ATS in their last 7 games overall.
• SA is 1-5 ATS in their last 6 after scoring 100 points or more in their previous game.
• SA has an Over record of 6-1 in their last 7 games following a S.U. loss.
• LA is 2-5-1 ATS in their last 8 games overall.
• LA is 1-6 ATS in their last 7 home games.
• LA has an Under record of 5-1 in their last 7 home games.

Sagarin Rankings

San Antonio Spurs: 95.37
L.A. Clippers: 95.96

Injury Report


[F] 04/27/2015 – Blake Griffin probable Tuesday vs. San Antonio ( Shoulder )
[F] 04/27/2015 – Matt Barnes probable Tuesday vs. San Antonio ( Shoulder )

Free NBA Pick

The underdog has covered the spread in 2 of the last 3 games in this series and I think that trend will continue. The Clippers bounced back from being crushed in Game 3 with the Game 4 win where they shot a scorching 53.6% from the field. In Game 4 the Spurs did not have a bad shooting game, but their defense struggled.

In Game 5 the Spurs will get back to playing solid defense. They have been in this situation before and as the defending champion they will handle the pressure in L.A. tonight. I see a close game, but not only will the Spurs cover the 2-point spread, but they will win as well taking a 3-2 lead in this series heading home for Game 6.

Take the SPURS +2

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