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San Antonio Spurs vs. Oklahoma City Thunder Betting Prediction

Time: 8 PM EST Thursday March 3, 2014, TNT

Location: Chesapeake Energy Arena, Oklahoma City, Oklahoma

The Oklahoma City Thunder host the San Antonio Spurs in a Western Conference match up.

In their last games: The Spurs beat the Golden State Warriors 111-90 and the Thunder beat the Utah Jazz 116-96.

In their win over the Warriors the Spurs jumped out to a 15-point halftime lead, they played solid defense, and shot 53% from the floor.

In their win over the Jazz the Thunder outscored Utah 26-9 in the first quarter, Kevin Durant went for 31 points, and OKC shot a great FG% of 55.4%.

The Thunder have won all 3 games against the Spurs this season with the most recent being a 111-105 win in San Antonio.

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Here are some additional handicapping angles to ponder:

The Thunder are 6-0 ATS in their last 6 home games against the Spurs.

In the last 7 games between these 2 teams the total has gone Under 5 times.

The Spurs have won 19 straight games, but have lost 6 straight at Oklahoma City.

The Thunder have won 2 straight and are 8-2 in their last 10 games.

Betting Odds

Point Spread: Oklahoma City -3.5
Total Line: 208
Money Line: Spurs +135/ Thunder -155

Straight up and Against the Point Spread Records
San Antonio Spurs: 59-16 SU 42-33 ATS
Oklahoma City Thunder: 54-19 SU 39-32-2 ATS

Key Betting Trends
• SA is 10-1 ATS in their last 11 road games.
• SA is 20-8 ATS in their last 28 games overall.
• SA has an Under record of 7-1 in their last 8 games.
• OKC is 6-1-2 ATS in their last 9 home games.
• OKC is 2-6-1 ATS in their last 9 games vs. a team with a winning S.U. record.
• OKC has an Under record of 5-2 in their last 7 home games.

Sagarin Power Rankings
San Antonio Spurs: 98.58
Oklahoma City Thunder: 96.75

Key Player Injuries

[F] 03/25/2014 – Matt Bonner out indefinitely ( Calf )
[F] 04/02/2014 – Aron Baynes is downgraded to expected to miss Wednesday vs. Golden State ( Ribs )

[C] 02/22/2014 – Kendrick Perkins out indefinitely ( Groin )
[G] 03/31/2014 – Reggie Jackson “?” Thursday vs. San Antonio ( Back )
[G] 03/02/2014 – Thabo Sefolosha out indefinitely ( Leg )

Betting Prediction:

Two of the higher scoring teams in the league and 2 of 3 in this matchup have gone over the total this season, but I feel that the under 208 is the play here. The Spurs have been playing great defense in recent games holding 6 of 8 opponents to 91 or fewer points and it’s not like the Thunder can’t play defense. Earlier in the season at Chesapeake Energy Arena when these two met the linesmaker hung a 202.5 on the board and it was all about defense with Oklahoma City pulling out the 94-87 win. Thunder guard Westbrook is questionable for this match making this an even stronger play if he doesn’t go. Take the UNDER 208.

Why waste money? Bet this game at and lay -105 instead of -110!

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