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Total Pick: San Antonio vs. Dallas Game 6

Time: 8 PM EST Friday May 2, 2014, ESPN

Location: American Airlines Center, Dallas, Texas

The Dallas Mavericks host the San Antonio Spurs in Game 6 of a Western Conference playoff series.

The Spurs lead this best of 7 series 3-2.

In their last games: In Game 5 the Spurs beat the Mavericks 109-103.

In their Game 5 win Tony Parker led the Spurs with 23 points and for the game San Antonio shot 46.6% from the floor.

We’re certainly not going to tell you that betting a higher percentage of underdogs is the best way to build your bankroll. But, if you follow that theory (we do), then why not get the best underdogs lines at this leading sportsbook. to check them out.

Here are some additional handicapping angles to ponder:

In the last 5 games between these 2 teams in Dallas the Over record is 4-1.

The Mavs have covered the spread in every game in this series.

Betting Odds

Point Spread: San Antonio -3
Total Line: 198.5
Money Line: Spurs -160 / Mavericks +140

Straight up and Against the Point Spread Records
San Antonio Spurs: 65-22 SU 45-42 ATS
Dallas Mavericks: 51-36 SU 49-38 ATS

Key Betting Trends
• SA is 1-5 ATS in their last 6 road games.
• SA is 0-7 ATS in their last 7 games overall.
• SA has an Under record of 5-2 in their last 7 road games.
• DAL is 2-5 ATS in their last 7 home games.
• DAL is 6-0 ATS in their last 6 games overall.
• DAL has an Over record of 8-3 in their last 11 home games.

Sagarin Power Rankings
San Antonio Spurs: 97.33
Dallas Mavericks: 93.78

Key Player Injuries

SPURS
No injuries to report at this time.

MAVERICKS
Gal Mekel G Sidelined Mar 22 knee Targeting April return

Total Pick:

The Mavericks are on a serious against the point spread run covering the number in all 5 games in this series and while another cover may happen in Game 6 the total appeals to me more in this spot. Here is why. Dallas is in a win or you’re out situation tonight trailing 3 games to 2. The 2 games they did win were their 2 highest scoring games in the series averaging 111 points per game and I feel they need to play up tempo to have their best chance at getting the W. That’s the subjective theory to the play. Here are some numbers to back up an over play. The 198.5 line is off 13.3 points off of their seasonal road and home scoring averages and 3 points off of their defensive averages.
Take the OVER 198.5.

Why waste money? Bet this game at and lay -105 instead of -110!

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