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Rutgers Scarlet Knights vs. Connecticut Huskies – ATS Selection

Time: 12:00 PM EST Saturday November 30, 2013, Big Ten Network

The Connecticut Huskies host the Rutgers Scarlet Knights in a AAC divisional match-up.

In their last games Rutgers lost 41-17 to Central Florida on the road as a 20 point underdog. Connecticut finally notched their 1st win of the season after being down 21-0 at the half. The Huskies stormed back scoring 28 unanswered points in the second half to win 28-21 over the Temple Owls on the road as a 6.5 point underdog.

In their last meeting Rutgers beat the Connecticut 19-3 last Oct 6/12 at home as a 7.5 point favorite. The Scarlet Knights have won 6 out of the last 10 against the Owls.

The Underdog has a record of 5-1 in their last 6 games.

These 2 teams have gone Over the posted total in 7 of the last 10 times they’ve met and also gone Over in all 5 of the last 5 times they faced off in Connecticut.

The Huskies are 7-3-1 against the number in the last 11 meetings and are 3-1-1 ATS in last 5 games at home against the Scarlet Knights.

This season Connecticut is 0-5 at home and Rutgers is 1-3 on the road.

Betting Odds at 5Dimes
Point Spread: Rutgers -3
Over/Under Total Line: 49
Moneyline: Scarlet Knights -140 / Huskies +120

Straight up and Against the Point Spread Records
Rutgers Scarlet Knights: 5-5 SU 3-7 ATS
Connecticut Huskies: 1-9 SU 3-7 ATS

Key Betting Trends
• RUTG is 2-6 ATS in their last 8 games following a ATS loss.
• RUTG is 0-4 ATS in their last 4 conference games.
• RUTG is 0-4 ATS vs. a team with a losing record.
• CONN is are 3-8 ATS in their last 11 games.
• CONN is 1-9-1 ATS in their last 11 games following a ATS win.
• CONN has gone Under in 5 of their last 7 games.

Sagarin Power Rankings
Rutgers Scarlet Knights: 61.02
Connecticut Huskies: 53.55

Key Player Injuries

Rutgers
[OL] 11/25/2013 – Brandon Arcidiacono Ques Saturday (Shoulder)
[WR] 11/25/2013 – Vance Mathews Ques Saturday (Back)
[FB] 11/25/2013 – Sam Bergen Ques Saturday (Ankle)
[TE] 11/25/2013 – Taylor Marini Ques Saturday (Shoulder)
[WR] 11/26/2013 – Leonte Carroo Out Saturday (Upper Body)
[DB] 11/12/2013 – Lewis Toler Out for the season (Arm)
[DE] 9/13/2013 – Myles Jackson Out for the season (Shoulder)
[DL] 9/13/2013 – Jamil Pollard Out for the season (Undisclosed)
[DL] 9/6/2013 – Julian Pinnix-Odrick Out for the season (Knee)

Connecticut
[CB] 11/26/2013 – Jhavon Williams Ques Saturday (Concussion)
[G] 11/24/2013 – Gus Cruz Ques Saturday (Heart)
[CB] 11/24/2013 – Ellis Marder Ques Saturday (Undisclosed)
[QB] 11/24/2013 – Chandler Whitmer Ques Saturday (Hand)
[S] 11/24/2013 – Ty-Meer Brown Ques Saturday (Neck)
[CB] 11/20/2013 – David Stevenson Out for the season (Knee)
[RB] 8/23/2013 – Joseph Williams Out indefinitely (Suspension)

Point Spread Selection : The Scarlet Knights still have a shot at a bowl game with a win this week or next and it goes without saying that the bowl quality will increase if they can win both games to get to 7 wins. They’ll have a good shot to get their 6th on Saturday at Connecticut. The Huskies have won a total of one game this season beating the equally hapless Temple 28-21. Once again Connecticut was out gained by their opponent but they were opportunistic finishing the day with a plus 2 turnover ratio. Rutgers has struggled in AAC play against the top dogs, but we believe part of the responsibility has to go to QB Gary Nova who has given the team weak QB play over their last 5 games. An experienced Chas Dodd takes over behind center and should provide a needed spark to the offense.
We like the Scarlet Knights to get back on track this week against a poor Huskies team. It’s a square play, but it’s the right one.
Take the Rutgers Scarlet Knights -3 at 5Dimes and get reduced juice on every play.

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