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Pittsburgh Pirates vs. St. Louis Cardinals Moneyline Pick

Time: 8 PM EST Wednesday July 9, 2014 ESPN

Location: Busch Stadium, St. Louis, Missouri

The St. Louis Cardinals host the Pittsburgh Pirates in a National League match up.

In their last games: Yesterday the Cardinals beat the Pirates 5-4 in Game 3 of this 4-game series.

Kevin Wong hit a 9th inning game-winning HR in the Cardinals win.

The Cardinals are 6-5 this season facing the Pirates.

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Here are some additional handicapping angles to ponder:

The Cardinals are 10-2 in their last 12 home games against the Pirates.

The Cardinals are 1-4 in Lynn’s last 5 starts against the Pirates.

The Pirates are 4-1 in Brandon Cumpton’s last 5 starts.

Pitching Match Up
Pittsburgh: Brandon Cumpton (3-2, 4.61 ERA)
St. Louis: Lance Lynn (9-6, 3.17 ERA)

Betting Odds

Money Line: Pirates +123 / Cardinals -133
Run Line: St. Louis -1.5 +160
Total Line: 7.5

Straight up, Over/Under and Runline Records
Pittsburgh Pirates: 47-43 SU / O/U 40-43 / Run Line W/L 49-41
St. Louis Cardinals: 49-42 SU / O/U 36-48 / Run Line W/L 41-50

Key Betting Trends
• PITT is 12-5 in their last 17 overall.
• PITT is 10-3 in their last 13 games vs. a right-handed starter.
• PITT has an Over record of 7-3 in their last 10 vs. a team with a winning record.
• STL is 5-2 in their last 7 overall.
• STL is 5-2 in their last 7 home games.
• STL has an Under record of 10-3-2 in their last 15 home games.

Key Player Injuries

Gerrit Cole SP Out Jul 8 shoulder Status uncertain
Clint Barmes SS D.L. Jul 6 groin Mid-August?
Francisco Liriano SP D.L. Jun 11 ribs Mid-July

Michael Wacha SP D.L. Jun 22 shoulder Out indefinitely
Kevin Siegrist RP D.L. May 24 arm Out indefinitely
Joe Kelly SP D.L. Apr 17 hamstring July 11

Moneyline Pick:

The Cardinals send Lance Lynn to the mound tonight. Lynn had been sharp at home with 6 quality starts in his last 7, giving up a total of 10 earned runs in a combined 47 innings. However, that said, Lynn has not fared well against the Pirates as of late getting rocked for 34 hits, 3 home runs and 20 earned runs in 19 innings in his last 4 against them. Pittsburgh starter Brandon Cumpton has had 3 QS in a row giving up a combined 5 runs over 20 innings. The young right hander seems to be settling in his grove now with the Pirates winning in 4 of his last 5 starts. I think Pittsburgh is worth a small play here with the Cardinals line-up seeing Cumpton for the first time. Take the Pittsburgh Pirates +123.

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