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Phoenix Suns vs. Atlanta Hawks Betting Pick

The 57-19 Atlanta Hawks host the 39-38 Phoenix Suns in a non-conference match up on 4/7/2015 at Philips Arena Atlanta, GA; Tipoff is at 7:30 PM ET.

Betting Odds

Point Spread: Hawks -8.5
Over/Under Total Line: 204

In their last game the Suns snapped their 5-game losing streak with a 87-85 win at home over the Utah Jazz where they covered as a 1-point favorite. The Suns have covered the spread in their last 2 games. In the Jazz game the total went Under and while it went Over the previous game the winning bet has been the Under in 6 of their last 7 games. In their last 10 games the Suns are 6-4 ATS and they have an O/U record of 2-8. Overall, the Suns are 5-5 in their last 10 games.

The Suns have been the better betting team on the road (20-15-2 ATS) than at home (20-20 ATS). They have covered the spread in 5 of their last 6 road games including their last one. The Over has been the winning bet for the Suns this season, as they have a road O/U record of 21-16 while they have a home O/U record of 14-25-1. In 2 of their last 3 games on the road the posted total has gone Over including their last one.

The Hawks were at home in their last game where they beat the Brooklyn Nets 131-99 where they easily covered the 10-point spread. They have covered in 2 of their last 3 games and in their last 10 games they are 5-5 ATS. The total for the Brooklyn game went Over and that is the 2nd straight game for Atlanta where that has been the winning bet. In their last 7 games the posted total has gone Over 7 times. Overall, the Hawks are 5-5 in their last 10 games.

The Hawks have been a solid bet this season both at home (24-14 ATS) and on the road (23-14-1 ATS). Atlanta has covered the spread in their last 3 home games. On the season the Hawks have an O/U home record of 19-19 and an O/U road record of 20-18. In their last home games the posted total went Over while in the previous 2 the posted total went Under.

This is the 2nd meeting between these 2 teams this season and in the first game in Phoenix the Hawks beat the Suns 96-87. In the game the Hawks covered the spread and the posted total went Under.

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Some other angles to consider:

The favorite is 4-0 ATS in the last 4 games between these 2 teams.

The Suns are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games against the Hawks in Atlanta.

The Suns are 9-3 ATS in their last 12 games against the Hawks.

In the last 7 games between these 2 teams in Atlanta the total has gone Under 5 times.

This season the Hawks are 33-5 at home and the Suns are 17-20 on the road.

SU and ATS Records

Phoenix Suns: 39-38 SU / 40-35-2 ATS
Atlanta Hawks: 57-19 SU / 47-28-1 ATS

Key Betting Trends

• PHO is 5-1 ATS in their last 6 road games.
• PHO is 5-2 ATS in their last 7 games following a S.U. win.
• PHO has an Under record of 23-9 in their last 32 games.
• ATL is 5-1 ATS in their last 6 home games.
• ATL is 21-7 ATS in their last 28 games vs. a team with a winning S.U. record.
• ATL has an Over record of 7-3 in their last 10 games.

Sagarin Rankings

Phoenix Suns: 90.46
Atlanta Hawks: 95.81

Injury Report


[G] 04/06/2015 – Marcus Thornton doubtful Tuesday vs. Atlanta ( Toe )
(!)[G] 04/06/2015 – Brandon Knight out for season ( Ankle )
[C] 04/02/2015 – Alex Len out indefinitely ( Nose )


[G] 04/06/2015 – Dennis Schroder is upgraded to probable Tuesday vs. Phoenix ( Toe )
(!)[F] 04/06/2015 – Paul Millsap out indefinitely ( Shoulder )

NBA Pick

The Suns have been a good betting team on the road as of late, but overall they have lost 11 of their last 15 on the road with one win coming over a team with a winning record. They are in desperate need of a win tonight, as they are 3-games out of the last playoff spot in the Western Conference.

The Hawks have already wrapped up the #1 seed in the East and they cannot catch the Warriors for the best record. I think they will win this game, but the Suns will cover. Paul Millsap is the leading scorer and rebounder for the Hawks and he is out for this game with a shoulder injury. In the win over the Suns in Phoenix earlier this season he went for 23 points and had 9 boards, which were both game highs. The Hawks will win tonight at home, but Phoenix will be scrappy and cover the 8.5-point spread.

Take the SUNS +8.5

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