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Philadelphia Eagles vs. San Francisco 49ers Betting Pick

Opening Line: 49ers -5.5
Over/Under: 50.5

Time: 4:25 PM EST Sunday September 28, 2014 on FOX

Philadelphia Eagles (3-0) vs. San Francisco 49ers (1-2)

The Eagles are one of only 3 remaining undefeated teams, but they head west to San Francisco where they are 5.5-point underdogs facing the 49ers. The 49ers have lost 2 straight where they have given up leads in each. They are struggling on both sides of the ball and their pass defense is a concern. They only rank 15th in the league in that category and this Sunday face Eagles’ QB Nick Foles, who leads the NFL averaging 326 passing yards per game.

The 49ers’ offense ranks 17th in both passing and rushing yards per game and while they need to get back to the run game more, especially after last game, they will face a Philadelphia pass defense that was torched last week, despite the win, and ranks 30th in the league.

In their last games the Eagles beat the Washington Redskins 37-34 and the 49ers lost to the Arizona Cardinals 23-14.

The Eagles are 2-1 ATS with an Over/Under record of 3-0 and the 49ers are 1-2 ATS with an Over/Under record of 1-2.

This season the 49ers are 0-1 at home and the Eagles are 1-0 on the road.

The 49ers’ defense has their work cut out for them facing an Eagles’ offense that is 2nd in the league in scoring averaging 33.7 ppg.

These teams have not met since the 2011 season.

The 49ers have not lost 2 straight at home since the 2010 season.

Foles has been playing great despite injuries to the offensive line. He has great targets including WR Jeremy Maclin, who had a big game last week against the Redskins. With Aldon Smith still suspended the 49ers’ pass rush has struggled and even with a banged up offensive line the Eagles did not give up any sacks last week.

The one glaring issue on the O-line has been opening up holes for the run game, which they have not done. LeSean McCoy is off to a slow start and he only had 22 rushing yards last week and for the season is averaging 2.9 yards per carry. The 49ers run D ranks 7th in the league and even in the loss they only allowed 84 rushing yards last week against the Cardinals.

Frank Gore only had 6 carries in the Arizona game and look for the 49ers to get back to the run. Colin Kaepernick has the weapons, but no deep threat and he has 4 TD and 3 INT on the season. While Gore is sure to get more carries San Francisco may want to air it out, as their pass D has not played well and last week against the Redskins they gave up 427 passing yards.

Betting Trends

The Eagles are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 road games, 5-2 ATS vs. a team with a losing record, and they have an Over record of 8-2 in their last 10 road games.

The 49ers are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 home games, 12-5 ATS in their last 17 games following a S.U. loss, and they have an Under record of 5-1 in their last 6 games.

The Eagles are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games against the 49ers in San Francisco.

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Free NFL Betting Pick

We talked about this line amongst us in the office this week. We just don’t see how we could make a wager on the 49ers with their current level of play. Last week’s performance should have the team questioning not only their ability, but also their manhood. They do get Tight End Vernon Davis back and may be able to move the ball against an Eagles’ defense that gave up 427 yards through the air to the Redskins last week. The Eagles shouldn’t be fearful of the not so once dominate San Francisco pass rush who has managed only 4 sacks on the season.

Take the OVER 51

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