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NCAA Free ATS Pick: Oregon Ducks versus Wisconsin Badgers

Time: 7:45 PM EST Saturday March 22, 2014, CBS

Location: BMO Harris Bradley Center, Milwaukee, Wisconsin

The 7th seed Oregon Ducks face the 2nd seed Wisconsin Badgers in the 3rd round of the West Region.

In their last games: Oregon beat BYU 87-68 and Wisconsin beat American University 75-35.

In their win over BYU Elgin Cook came off the bench to score 23 points and grab 8 boards and as a team the Ducks shot 50% from the field. The main reason they won is Oregon held BYU to a FG% of 32.8%.

In their easy win over American Wisconsin shot the ball well, held the Eagles to a FG% of 29.7%, and outscored them by 30 points in the 2nd half.

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Here are some additional handicapping angles to ponder:

Oregon is 4-0 ATS in their last 4 NCAA tournament games and Wisconsin is 4-1 ATS in their last 5 tourney games.

Wisconsin finished the season as the nation’s 12th ranked team and on the season Oregon was 1-2 facing top 25 teams.

The Badgers’ defense will be facing an Oregon team that ranks 11th in the nation in scoring.

Betting Odds

Point Spread: Wisconsin -5
Total Line: 142
Money Line: Ducks +180 / Badgers -220

Straight up and Against the Point Spread Records
Oregon Ducks: 24-9 SU 18-11-3 ATS
Wisconsin Badgers: 27-7 SU 18-16 ATS

Key Betting Trends
• OREG is 6-1-1 ATS in their last 8 games overall.
• OREG is 4-1-1 ATS in their last 6 games vs. a team with a winning S.U. record.
• OREG has an Under record of 13-4 in their last 17 games.
• WISC is 4-0 ATS in their last 4 non-conference games.
• WISC is 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games following a S.U. win.
• WISC has an Over record of 4-1 in their last 5 games.

Sagarin Power Rankings
Oregon Ducks: 85.76
Wisconsin Badgers: 90.07

Key Player Injuries

[F] 12/21/2013 – Brian Crow out indefinitely ( Ankle )
[F] 01/29/2014 – Arik Armstead left the team ( Personal )
[G] 01/19/2014 – A.J. Lapray out indefinitely ( Ankle )

[G] 12/07/2013 – George Marshall has left team ( Concussion )
[G] 11/18/2013 – Riley Dearring redshirt ( None )

ATS Pick:

The Big Ten looked like the class of the NCAA in Thursday’s games with only the overrated Buckeyes not impressing. Oregon surprised us winning in a big way over BYU but the Badgers are in a different league. Wisconsin had one of the tougher non-conference schedules hosting Florida, playing St. John’s, and St. Louis on a neutral court and visiting Virginia. Splitting the 4 games would have been acceptable. Winning all 4 as they did is outstanding.
Take the Wisconsin Badgers -5.

Why waste money? Bet this game at and lay -105 instead of -110!

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