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Oregon Ducks vs. Arizona Wildcats Point Spread Pick

Time: 9 PM EST Thursday February 6, 2014, ESPN

Location: McKale Center, Tucson, Arizona

The 2nd ranked Arizona Wildcats host the Oregon Ducks in a Pac 12 match up.

In their last games: Oregon beat USC 78-66 and Arizona lost to California 60-58.

Oregon did not shoot the ball well or play great defense in the win over USC, but the main reason they won is that they forced 22 turnovers, which led to many easy buckets.

The reason Arizona lost their first game of the season facing Cal is they were ice-cold shooting with a FG% of only 32.4%. Leading scorer Nick Johnson (16.1 ppg) was 1/14 from the field for only 4 points in the Cal loss.

The last time these teams met was last season at Oregon where the Ducks beat the Wildcats 70-66.

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Here are some additional handicapping angles to ponder:

Oregon is 5-2 ATS in their last 7 games at Arizona.

In the last 6 games between these 2 teams the total has gone Under 5 times.

Oregon is 0-1 this season facing ranked teams.

The Ducks have won 2 of their last 3 games after losing 5 straight.

Betting Odds

Point Spread: Arizona -11
Total Line: 137.5
Money Line: Ducks +500 / Wildcats -700

Straight up and Against the Point Spread Records
Oregon Ducks: 15-6 SU 9-9-2 ATS
Arizona Wildcats: 21-1 SU 13-8 ATS

Key Betting Trends
• OREG Is 1-9-1 ATS in their last 11 games overall.
• OREG Is 1-3-1 ATS in their last 5 road games.
• OREG has an Under record of 5-0 in their last 5 games.
• ARIZ is 15-6 ATS in their last 21 home games.
• ARIZ is 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games overall.
• ARIZ has an Under record of 5-0 in their last 5 vs. a team with a winning S.U. record.

Sagarin Power Rankings
Oregon Ducks: 83.77
Arizona Wildcats: 95.26

Key Player Injuries

DUCKS
[G] 02/04/2014 – A.J. Lapray Questionable Thursday ( Hip )
[F] 02/04/2014 – Brian Crow Questionable Thursday ( Ankle )

WILDCATS
[F] 02/03/2014 – Brandon Ashley injured last game, out for season ( Ankle )

Point Spread Pick:

The Ducks have not only been losing games at a high percentage in Pac 12 play where they are a 3-6 straight up. They have been destroying bettors’ bankrolls with a 1-8 conference point spread record. That being said, the Wildcats lost their first game of the season on Saturday and may not have the same swagger that goes with being undefeated. Oregon has lost only one game by a double digit margin this season and yes it does go back to 2011, but they have covered the last 3 versus Arizona. We feel that the line is on the high side here giving a play on the “nothing to lose” Ducks a lot of value.
Take the Oregon Ducks +11
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