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Oklahoma Sooners vs. Baylor Bears Betting Preview – Point Spread Pick

Time: 7:30 PM EST Thursday November 7, 2013, ESPN / WatchESPN

The Baylor Bears host the Oklahoma Sooners in a Big 12 conference match up.

In their last games Baylor had little trouble beating up on the Jayhawks 59-14 in Kansas, as a 34.5 point spread favorite. Oklahoma beat Texas Tech beat 38-30 at home.

The Sooners got past the Baylor Bears 42-34 last Nov 10/12 in Oklahoma but failed to cover the lofty 21 points. Oklahoma has won 9 out of the last 10 meetings.

Oklahoma is 7-2 ATS in the last 9 games at Baylor.

These 2 teams have gone Over posted total in 5 out of their last 6 meetings.

The road team is 14-3 ATS in the last 17 games between these 2 teams.

The underdog is 7-3 against the spread in the last 6 games between these 2 teams.

This season Baylor is 5-0 at home and Oklahoma is 2-1 on the road.

Betting Odds at 5Dimes
Point Spread: Baylor -15
Over/Under Total Line: 73
Moneyline: Oklahoma +460 / Baylor -620

Straight up and Against the Point Spread Records
Oklahoma Sooners: 7-1 SU 4-4 ATS
Baylor Bears: 7-0 SU 6-1 ATS

Key Betting Trends
• Oklahoma is 7-3 ATS in their last 10 games following a bye week.
• Oklahoma is 1-4 ATS in their last 5 conference games.
• Oklahoma has gone Over posted total in 5 out of their last 7 road games.
• Baylor is 7-0 ATS vs. a team with a winning record.
• Baylor is 20-6 ATS in their last 26 games overall.
• Baylor has a Over record of 21-4-1 in their last 26 home games overall.

Sagarin Power Rankings
Oklahoma Sooners: 83.64
Baylor Bears: 94.59

Key Player Injuries

[DE] 10/27/2013 – D.J. Ward Ques Thursday (Stomach)
[LB] 11/2/2013 – Corey Nelson out for season (Pectoral)
[WR] 10/16/2013 – Trey Metoyer Out indefinitely (Disciplinary)

11/6/2013 – No Injuries to report.

Next Game
Iowa State @ Oklahoma
Texas Tech At Baylor

Our Selection : Oklahoma is 7-1 on the season with their only loss being to the improved Longhorns on the road. They are on the road again this week, but keep in mind that the Sooners are 2-1 as a visitor this season and did beat the Fighting Irish 35-21 in late September.
Baylor has yet to lose this season with a record of 7-0 and the Bears aren’t just winning games, they’re destroying teams. All but one team has lost by 31 or more points. That team would be the Kansas State Wildcats who lost 35-25.
The Bears could not extend the lead versus the Wildcats and we believe that will be the case with the Sooners. Baylor struggled with K-States’ Pro-set offense allowing their high yardage total on the season. Oklahoma uses the same type of offense but has the better rushing attack ranking 17th in the nation. The stat that stands out the most is not on offense though. The Wildcats held the Bears 7th ranked rushing attack to 2.9 yards a carry! While we don’t know if the Sooners can duplicate that number, we do know that Oklahoma ranks No. 10 in total defense in the country.
This will be the toughest test of the season for both teams. If the Sooners don’t let the Bears open up a big early lead, it wouldn’t be out of the question for Oklahoma to get the outright win. Of course if Baylor gets up big early this could get ugly. It’s not very often that you can take a team that you believe has a shot to win and get 15 points.
Take the Oklahoma Sooners +15 at 5Dimes and get reduced juice on every play.

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