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Oklahoma City Thunder vs Denver Nuggets Betting

The Oklahoma City Thunder 26-25 go into Denver to take on the Nuggets 19-32 in NBA play Monday, February 9, 2015 at the Pepsi Center; tip off time is 9:00PM EST.

Betting Odds

Point Spread: Oklahoma -4.5
Over/Under: 210

Denver is having a weak season so far with only 19 wins out of 51 games played and are a paltry 19-29-3 against the spread putting bettors that are backing them into the red. The Nuggets have lost their last 5 games by an average of over 10 points or more losing ATS in all 5 games.
While the Thunder are almost split with 25 wins and 25 losses they are a weak 22-27-2 against the spread and sending them backers deep into the hole. Oklahoma City has won 3 of its last 5 games against New Orleans on the road as a 4 point underdog and Miami at home as a 10.5 point favorite and clobbering the 13-108 in their last game at home.

Ironically the Nuggets scoring is on average 100 points per game compared to the Thunder’s 99.9 PPG but they are allowing an average of 103 points for a -3 differential compared to Oklahoma’s 98.5 PPG for an average of a 1 point differential . Both teams are even behind the arc and shooting from the charity line.

The last time these two teams met was back in November when Oklahoma went into Denver and beat the Nuggets 107-100 as a 7 point favorite, managing a push on the posted line. Oklahoma is 5-5 against the Nuggets on the season and are 4-5-1 against the spread. They have allowed Denver an average of 103 points per game which is 3 points over the Nuggets average of 100 PPG on the season. The over/under on this match-up is 4-5-1 over the last 10 games.

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ATS Betting Trends

Oklahoma City

Thunder are 5-2-1 ATS in their last 8 games playing on 0 days rest.
Thunder are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 games vs. a team with a losing S.U. record.
Thunder are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 road games.
Thunder are 3-13 ATS in their last 16 vs. Western Conference.
Thunder are 3-14 ATS in their last 17 Monday games.
Thunder are 1-7 ATS in their last 8 games overall.


Nuggets are 16-35-2 ATS in their last 53 home games vs. a team with a losing road record.
Nuggets are 5-16 ATS in their last 21 games playing on 2 days rest.
Nuggets are 7-24-2 ATS in their last 33 home games vs. a team with a road winning percentage of less than .400.
Nuggets are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 home games.
Nuggets are 2-8-1 ATS in their last 11 vs. NBA Northwest.
Nuggets are 0-5 ATS in their last 5 games overall.

Current Injuries



Steven Adams – Day-to-Day (hand)
Anthony Morrow – Day-to-Day (shoulder)
Kendrick Perkins Out February 8 (suspension)


JaVale McGee – Day-to-Day (illness)
Jameer Nelson – Day-to-Day (Achilles)

Sagarin Ratings

Denver Nuggets 86.77
Oklahoma City Thunder 91.12

Free Pick

The recent trends in this series is to the under with four of the last five falling under the closing line. The Thunder have played three consecutive over games against the Clippers and in a home and home versus Pelicans, but were on a six game under roll prior to their current stretch. The Nuggets have also been a favorable under bet in recent games with five of their last seven staying under the total. Denver has also failed to score more than 100 points in seven straight games and add into the equation Oklahoma City’s defense doesn’t drop off in zero rest situations.

Take the UNDER 210‏

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