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Oakland A’s vs. Kansas City Royals Free Betting Pick

Time: 8:07 PM EST Tuesday September 30, 2014 TBS

Location: Kauffman Stadium, Kansas City, Missouri

The Kansas City Royals host the Oakland A’s in Game 1 of an American League playoff match up.

In their last games: The Royals beat the Chicago White Sox 6-4 and the A’s beat the Texas Rangers 4-0.

The Royals scored 3 unanswered runs to beat the White Sox 6-4 on Sunday.

Oakland starter Sonny Gray pitched a shutout in the A’s 4-0 win over the Rangers.

Here are some additional handicapping angles to ponder:

The Royals are 3-7 in James Shields’ last 10 home starts.

The Royals are 4-1 in their last 5 games against the A’s.

In the last 17 games between these 2 teams the Under record is 12-4-1.

Pitching Match Up

Oakland: Jon Lester (16-11, 2.46 ERA)
Kansas City: James Shields (14-8, 3.21 ERA)

Betting Odds

Money Line: Royals -107 / Athletics -103
Run Line: Royals -1.5 +190
Total Line: Under 6.5 -120

Straight up and Against the Point Spread Records

Oakland A’s: 88-74 SU / O/U 77-76 / Run Line W/L 77-85
Kansas City Royals: 89-73 SU / O/U 73-81 / Run Line W/L 86-7

Key Betting Trends

• OAK is 7-16 in their last 23 road games.
• OAK is 6-15 in their last 21 vs. a team with a winning record.
• OAK has an Under record of 7-1-1 in their last 9 road games.
• KC is 6-2 in their last 8 overall.
• KC is 1-6 in their last 7 home games vs. a team with a winning record.
• KC has an Over record of 5-2-1 in their last 8 home games.

Key Player Injuries

Kyle Blanks Strained left calf on 60-day DL(6/23)
A.J. Griffin Right elbow surgery – out for season on 60-day DL(3/21)
John Jaso Concussion on 15-day DL(8/24)
Jarrod Parker Right elbow surgery – out for season on 60-day DL(3/20)

Christian Colon Fractured right middle finger on 15-day DL(9/7)
Luke Hochevar Left elbow surgery – out for season on 60-day DL(3/21)
Michael Mariot Strained right hamstring on 60-day DL(8/

Free Total Pick

No doubt a 2-1type game is possible here with the A’s going with Jon Lester and his 2.46 ERA and the Royals countering with James Shields and his 3.21 ERA. We’re going to take a different position on the game. KC got to J. Lester for 3 runs in each of his last two starts against them and on a whole has scored only marginally lower versus lefthanders this season. J. Shields hasn’t been as dominate lately with 3 runs allowed in 3 consecutive starts and failing go further than 7 innings. Both bullpens are top level but not unhittable. The over/under number is very low and we believe that by the last out we’ll see the total hit 8 plus.

Take the OVER 6.5‏

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