NY Giants at Philadelphia Eagles Spread Analysis – ATS Prediction
- Updated: October 9, 2014
Opening Line: Eagles -2.5
Time: 8:30 PM EST Sunday October 12, 2014 on NBC
New York Giants (3-2) vs. Philadelphia Eagles (4-1)
In the Sunday night game there is a great match up in the NFC East when the first place Eagles, who are tied atop the division with the Cowboys, host the streaking Giants. New York lost their first 2 games of the season, but has won 3 straight behind an offense that has combined for 105 points in that span. That is troubling for an Eagles’ defense that has struggled this season only ranking 29th defending the pass and 24th defending the run.
The Eagles’ shortcomings on defense has not hurt them much so far, as their offense is a high scoring one. Even with LeSean McCoy struggling QB Nick Foles has been solid and leads an offense that has scored at least 30 points in 4 of 5 games this season.
In their last games the Eagles beat the St. Louis Rams 34-28 and the Giants beat the Atlanta Falcons 30-20.
The Giants are 3-2 ATS and they have an Over/Under record of 3-2 and the Eagles are 3-2 ATS and they have an Over/Under record of 4-1.
On the season the Eagles are 3-0 at home and the Giants are 1-1 on the road.
After sputtering in the first 2 games of the season Giants’ QB Eli Manning has stepped up and played great in the win streak. In the last 3 games he has a completion percentage of 70.1% and has 8 TD and 1 TD. He has been spreading it around with 5 different New York players with at least 10 catches. It also helps that dynamic rookie WR Odell Beckham Jr. is now healthy. The Eagles’ pass defense has struggled all season and in the win over the Rams they gave up 341 passing yards, but did have 4 sacks.
One possibly big blow for the Giants is that RB Rashad Jennings, who ranks 4th in the league in rushing yards, is injured and unlikely to play. If he cannot go rookie Andre Williams, who has 131 yards and 2 TD over the last 2 games, will get the start in the backfield.
Foles has been putting up good numbers and he has a slew of solid targets, but only ranks 23rd in QB rating. He struggles with deep balls, 4 picks on passes of 21 yards or more, and the Giants and their 25th ranked pass defense has to play well on short and mid-range passes. The New York pass defense has not looked good this season, but they do lead the league in INT.
Last season LeSean McCoy led the league in rushing, but only ranks 15th in rushing yards so far. He has 4 games rushing for over 100 yards against New York and Darren Sproles has been helping out in the run game and is averaging nearly 7 yards per carry. He and McCoy will face a New York run defense that ranks 10th in the league.
In the last 3 seasons the Giants have won 2 of 3 in Philadelphia.
The Giants are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 road games, 5-2 ATS in their last 7 games overall, and they have an Under record of 14-6 in their last 20 road games.
The Eagles are 8-22-1 ATS in their last 31 home games, 3-11-1 ATS vs. a team with a winning record, and they have an Over record of 5-1 in their last 6 home games.
The road team is 5-1-1 ATS in the last 7 games between these 2 teams.
Free Point Spread Pick
The Giants will be without starting RB Rashad Jennings and it will be a dropoff to rookie RB Andre Williams, but it’s not that big and it may not matter. New York has scored 30 or more points in 3 straight games and will be facing one of the worst defenses in the league in Week 6. The Eagles defense is ranked 28th in yards, 29th in passing yards and 25th in points allowed in the league and is unlikely to put up much resistance on Sunday. The Philadelphia offense is not much better. While they do rank No. 2 in scoring offense they rank 14th in yards per game and have faced three teams in the bottom seven for scoring defense. There is a strong trend to the visitor in this series and that’s where we suggest your money goes on Sunday night.
Take the New York Giants +3