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Notre Dame Fighting Irish vs. Arizona State Sun Devils Total Pick

Time: 3:30 PM EST Saturday November 8, 2014, ABC / WatchESPN

Both teams are 7-1 straight up on the season

Overall against the spread the Fighting Irish are 5-3 and 4-4 on the over/under line. On the road Notre Dame is 2-1 SU and ATS.

Arizona State is an even 4-4 versus the betting line and an under favoring 3-5 on the total line. As the host the Sun Devils are 3-1 straight up and 1-3 against the spread.

On the season Notre Dame has scored 35 points per game while allowing opponents 22. As a visitor the Fighting Irish have scored 34 points per game and have given up 25.

This season Arizona State has averaged 34 points per game while giving up 24 per game to their opponents. At home in 4 games they have scored 40 points per game and have allowed 23 PPG to their opponents.

In their last games Notre Dame beat Navy 49-39 and Arizona State beat Utah 19-16.

Betting Odds
Point Spread: Arizona State -2.5
Over/Under Total Line: 59.5
Moneyline: OFF

Straight up and Against the Point Spread Records
Notre Dame: 7-1 SU 5-3 ATS
Arizona State 7-1 SU 4-4 ATS

Key Betting Trends
• ND is 6-0 ATS vs. a team with a winning record.
• ND is 4-1-1 ATS in their last 6 games following a ATS loss.
• ND has an Under record of 5-1 in their last 6 road games.
• ASU is 1-4 ATS in their last 5 home games.
• ASU is 1-4 ATS in their last 5 non-conference games.
• ASU has an Under record of 4-1 in their last 5 home games.

Sagarin Power Rankings
Notre Dame: 85.99
Arizona State: 84.18

Key Player Injuries

[WR] 08/16/2014 – DaVaris Daniels out for season ( Academics )
[LB] 08/16/2014 – Kendall Moore out for season ( Academics )
[LB] 08/19/2014 – Ishaq Williams out for season ( Academics )
[TE] 10/26/2014 – Mike Heuerman out indefinitely ( Hernia )
[DB] 11/02/2014 – Austin Collinsworth “?” Saturday vs. Arizona State ( Shoulder )
[LB] 11/03/2014 – Joe Schmidt out for season ( Ankle )
[LB] 09/07/2014 – Jarrett Grace out indefinitely ( Leg )
[DB] 09/15/2014 – Nicky Baratti out for season ( Shoulder )
[S] 10/17/2014 – Eilar Hardy out indefinitely ( Suspension )
[DB] 10/10/2014 – KeiVarae Russell out for season ( Academics )

[LB] 10/16/2014 – Marcus Washington out for season ( Knee )
[DT] 09/05/2014 – Corey Smith out for season ( Hip )
[OL] 11/02/2014 – Christian Westerman “?” Saturday vs. Notre Dame ( Leg )
[TE] 11/03/2014 – De’Marieya Nelson “?” Saturday vs. Notre Dame ( Undisclosed )
[LB] 11/02/2014 – Jamal Scott “?” Saturday vs. Notre Dame ( Arm )
[DB] 11/02/2014 – Ezekiel Bishop “?” Saturday vs. Notre Dame ( Knee )
[LB] 08/14/2014 – Carlos Mendoza out indefinitely ( Knee )

Next Game
Notre Dame vs. Northwestern
Arizona State @ Oregon State

Free College Football Total Pick

The season scoring numbers of each team would suggest a wager on the over, but I believe the defenses will be the star on Saturday. The Irish have held 5 of their opponents to 17 or fewer points and while the have allowed 37.66 PPG in their last three, I think it would be logical to base that average on scheduling. In the game proceeding the Florida State game hosting a terrible North Carolina team ND was in a “look ahead” situation and then after the narrow 31-27 loss to the Seminoles they were in down spot against Navy. I fully expect them to rebound this week to their previous form. The Sund Devils’ defense has played very well recently allowing 36 combined points in their last 3 games and excluding the UCLA game the Sun Devils have held opponents to an average of 13.3 points in three home games.

Take the UNDER ‏ 59.5

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