Northwestern Wildcats at Michigan Wolverines Free Pick
- Updated: October 6, 2015
Opening Line: Michigan -8
Time: 3:30 PM EST Saturday October 10, 2015 on BTN
Michigan lost their opening game of the season, but they are back in the top 25 after reeling off 4 straight wins including a 31-0 win over a ranked BYU team. Northwestern is at 5-0 and this is a crucial early season game since both them and the Wolverines are 1-0 in Big 10 play.
The big question for this game is can Michigan move the ball on a great Northwestern defense? The Wildcats rank 5th in the nation in overall defense and in their 5 games they have only given up a total of 35 points.
Michigan has 2 straight shutout wins and after their season opening loss to Utah, who are now the 5th ranked team in the nation, they have outscored their opponents 122-14.
In their last games Northwestern beat Minnesota 27-10 and Michigan beat Maryland 28-0.
On the season Northwestern is 4-1 ATS with an O/U record of 0-5 and Michigan is 3-2 ATS with an O/U record of 0-5.
Michigan is 3-0 at home this season and Northwestern is 1-0 on the road.
Last season at Northwestern the Wolverines beat the Wildcats 10-9 in a defensive battle.
Northwestern is mostly about the run on offense, as they rank 14th in the nation in rushing yards per game and 119th in passing yards per game. The one goal for the Michigan defense in this game has to be to contain RB Justin Jackson, who has rushed for at least 120 yards in 4 of 5 games this season including the last 3.
The Wildcats will be facing a Michigan run defense that ranks 5th in the nation.
Northwestern has had major issues in the red-zone this season, as on offense they have gotten there 17 times, but only have 5 TD. When they get deep in Michigan territory they have to score TD and not settle for TD’s, especially since the Wolverines have a solid offense.
The Wolverines are led by QB Jake Rudock and on the season he has passed for 956 yards with 5 TD and 6 INT. He has a good WR corps led by Amara Darboh and Jake Butt, who each have over 230 receiving yards on the season, but it is key he does not turn the ball over. Besides Ruddock’s 6 picks he has a lost fumble and will face a Northwestern defense that ranks 25th in the nation in takeaways.
De’Veon Smith leads the Michigan rushing attack and after rushing for 125 yards in the big win over BYU he left the game with an ankle injury. He missed last week’s game against Maryland, but should suit up for this one and has rushed for at least 125 yards in 2 of his last 3 games.
Northwestern at Michigan Betting Trends
Northwestern is 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games overall, 3 ATS vs. a team with a winning record, and they have an Under record of 20-7 in their last 27 games.
Michigan is 5-2 ATS vs. a team with a winning record, 2-6 ATS in their last 8 games following a S.U. win, and they have an Under record of 6-0 in their last 6 home games.
Northwestern is 5-2 ATS in their last 7 games against Michigan.
The road team is 4-1 ATS in the last 5 games between these 2 teams.
Free College Football Prediction
Sure Northwestern has played exceptional defense this season, but Michigan has been better allowing 7 points in their last four! The point spread is big for a game with such a low total, but the Wildcats have some OL issues and this could easily be a 13-0 type game for the home team.
Take the Michigan Wolverines -8 @ INTERTOPS – FUNDING YOUR NEW ACCOUNT COULDN’T BE EASIER!