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Northern Illinois Huskies vs. Toledo Rockets – Point Spread Prediction

Time: 8:00 PM EST Wednesday November 20, 2013,ESPN2

The Toledo Rockets host the Northern Illinois Huskies in an MAC West divisional match up.

In their last games Northern Illinois beat Ball State 48-27 at home as a 8.5 point favorite. Toledo won a high scoring affair over Buffalo after jumping out to a 31-0 half time lead. The Rockets gave up 41 points in the second half but held on to beat Bulls 51-41 at home.

Northern Illinois beat Toledo last Nov 14/12 31-24, as a 10 point spread favorite at Northern Illinois. The Huskies have won the last 3 meetings but the series is split 5-5 in their last 10.

Northern Illinois is 4-10-1 against the number in their 15 games against the Rockets and are 2-5 ATS in last 7 visits to Toledo.

The underdog has covered the spread in 8 out of the last 11 times these 2 teams have met.

This season Toledo is 5-0 at home and Northern Illinois is 6-0 on the road.

Betting Odds at 5Dimes
Point Spread: Northern Illinois -2.5
Over/Under Total Line: 72.5
Moneyline: Huskies -142 / Rockets +122

Straight up and Against the Point Spread Records
Northern Illinois Huskies: 10-0 SU 7-3 ATS
Toledo Rockets: 7-3 SU 7-2-1 ATS

Key Betting Trends
• Toledo is 4-0 ATS in their last 4 conference games.
• Toledo is 4-1 ATS in their last 5 home games.
• Toledo is 1-5 ATS in their last 6 home games vs. a team with a winning road record.
• Northern Illinois is 4-0 ATS in their last 4 road games.
• Northern Illinois is 23-8-2 ATS in their last 32 conference games.
• Northern Illinois is 1-3-1 ATS vs. a team with a winning record.

Sagarin Power Rankings
Northern Illinois Huskies: 75.10
Toledo Rockets: 72.34

Key Player Injuries

Northern Illinois
[RB] 11/18/2013 – Akeem Daniels Ques Wednesday (Foot)
[CB] 11/18/2013 – Sean Evans Ques Wednesday (Knee)
[RB] 10/16/2013 – Keith Harris Jr. Out for the season (Ankle)
[CB] 9/26/2013 – Marckie Hayes Out for the season (Concussion)
[LB] 9/24/2013 – Rasheem Lemon Out indefinitely (Suspension)

Toledo
[RB] 11/18/2013 – David Fluellen Doub Wednesday (Ankle)
[WR] 10/19/2013 – Elijah Jones Out for the season (Lower Body)

Next Game
Western Michigan @ Northern Illinois
Toledo @ Akron

Our Selection : The Rockets have not lost at home this season and did look impressive early against Buffalo last week. However, they allowed 497 yards in the air to the Bulls and will now face one of the better passing units in the MAC.
The Huskies have one of the most balanced teams in the country on offense ranking 4th in total yards, 8th in rushing yards but also a solid 55th in passing. Turnover margin is another strength ranking 17th in the nation at +9 and losing the turnover battle in only one game this season.
Admittedly, the schedule hasn’t been the most difficult, but a road win in Iowa is worth noting and they did put away hot MAC rival Ball St 48-27 decidedly last week.
Northern Illinois has yet to lose and with a point spread under a field goal they’re the position we’re taking.
Take the Northern Illinois Huskies -2.5 at 5Dimes and get reduced juice on every play.

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