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North Carolina Tar Heels vs. Florida State Seminoles ATS Prediction

Time: 7 PM EST Monday February 17, 2014, ESPN

Location: Donald L. Tucker Center, Tallahassee, Florida

The Florida Seminoles host the North Carolina Tar Heels in an ACC match up.

In their last games: North Carolina beat Pittsburgh 75-71 and Florida State beat Wake Forrest 67-60.

In their win over Pittsburgh James Michael McAdoo led the Tar Heels with 24 points and 12 rebounds and North Carolina played solid defense holding the Panthers to 40.6% shooting from the field.

In their win over Wake Forrest the Seminoles bench scored 32 points and the Florida State’s defense played well holding Wake to 37.7% shooting.

These 2 teams met last season at North Carolina when the Tar Heels beat the Seminoles 83-62.

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Here are some additional handicapping angles to ponder:

The home team is 5-2 ATS in the last 7 games between these 2 teams.

In the last 8 games between these 2 teams the total has gone Over 6 times.

Florida State is coming off a win, but they have lost 5 of their last 7 games.

After a tough start to ACC play North Carolina has won 6 straight.

Betting Odds

Point Spread: – Florida State -1
Total Line: 143
Money Line: Tar Heels +100 / Seminoles -120

Straight up and Against the Point Spread Records
North Carolina Tar Heels: 17-7 SU 13-11 ATS
Florida State Seminoles: 15-10 SU 13-10 ATS

Key Betting Trends
• UNC is 6-0 ATS in their last 6 games overall.
• UNC is 6-0 ATS in their last 6 games vs. a team with a winning S.U. record.
• UNC has an Over record of 6-2 in their last 8 games.
• FSU is 2-7 ATS in their last 9 games overall.
• FSU is 1-6 ATS in their last 7 games vs. a team with a winning S.U. record.
• FSU has an Over record of 6-2 in their last 8 vs. a team with a winning S.U. record.

Sagarin Power Rankings
North Carolina Tar Heels: 85.33
Florida State Seminoles: 83.52

Key Player Injuries

[G] 12/20/2013 – P.J. Hairston out for season ( Suspension )

[G] 02/05/2014 – Xavier Rathan-Mayes out for season ( Eligibility )
[C] 11/13/2013 – Kiel Turpin out indefinitely ( Knee )

Point Spread Pick:

The Tar Heels have been on a roll winning 6 straight but may not be fully focused here with Duke on tap Thursday. The Seminoles have played reasonably well at home this season, but have struggled overall versus the ACC with a 6-7 record on the season. If they don’t string together some wins starting tonight they will lose any chance at a tournament bid. The players know that and I expect them to respond with one of their best efforts of the season.
Take the Florida State Seminoles -1

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