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New York Yankees vs. Baltimore Orioles Total Pick

Time: 7:05 PM EST Friday July 11, 2014 MASN

Location: Oriole Park at Camden Yards, Baltimore, Maryland

The Baltimore Orioles host the New York Yankees in an AL East match up.

In their last games: The Yankees lost to the Cleveland Indians 9-3 and the Orioles beat the Washington Nationals 4-3.

In the loss to the Indians the Yankees had the lead going into the 8th inning, but gave up 9 runs combined in the 8th and 9th.

The Orioles scored 4 runs before the 4th inning in the win over the Nationals and their pitching was solid to hold the lead.

Here are some additional handicapping angles to ponder:

The Orioles are 4-1 in their last 5 games against the Yankees.

The Orioles are 2-5 in Miguel Gonzalez’s last 7 starts against the Yankees.

The Yankees are 4-11 in Hiroki Kuroda’s last 15 road starts.

Pitching Match Up
New York Yankees: Hiroki Kuroda (6-6, 4.20 ERA)
Baltimore Orioles: Miguel Gonzalez (4-5, 4.22 ERA)

Betting Odds

Money Line: Yankees +102 / Orioles -112
Run Line: Baltimore -1.5 +170
Total Line: 8.5

Straight up, Over/Under and Runline Records
New York Yankees: 46-45 SU / O/U 42-48 / Run Line W/L 46-45
Baltimore Orioles: 50-41 SU / O/U 42-47 / Run Line W/L 50-41

Key Betting Trends
• NY is 4-1 in their last 5 games as a road underdog.
• NY is 6-2 in their last 8 road games vs. a right-handed starter.
• NY has an Over record of 4-1 in their last 5 games.
• BAL is 8-2 in their last 10 overall.
• BAL is 5-1 in their last 6 home games.
• BAL has an Under record of 14-5-1 in their last 20 home games.

Key Player Injuries

Carlos Beltran DH D.L. Jul 10 head Mid-July?
Masahiro Tanaka SP D.L. Jul 9 elbow Out indefinitely
CC Sabathia SP D.L. May 11 knee Out indefinitely
Michael Pineda SP D.L. May 6 shoulder Mid-August?
Ivan Nova SP D.L. Apr 20 elbow 2015
Alex Rodriguez 3B Suspended Jan 13 Day-to-day

Johan Santana SP D.L. Jun 2 shoulder 2015?
Matt Wieters C D.L. May 11 elbow 2015

Total Pick:

Yankees starter Hiroki Kuroda has had 4 quality starts in last 4 at home but has struggled on the road with just 2 QS in last 6 away from Yankee stadium. Kuroda has faced the Orioles twice this season both games at home giving up 4 runs in 12 1/3 innings. However last season in his 2 starts at Camden Yards he surrendered 9 earned runes in 8 frames. Baltimore’s Miguel Gonzalez is coming off a strong performance in his last against Boston where he gave up 1 run in 8 innings, after 3 mediocre starts in a row where he gave up 10 runs and 5 HR in 14 and 2/3. Tough to pick a side here between two teams trying to keep pace in the AL East, so I’ll make a play on the total. Take Over 8.5 runs.

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