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New York Yankees vs. Boston Red Sox Moneyline Prediction

Time: 7 PM EST Wednesday April 23, 2014 ESPN

Location: Fenway Park, Boston, Massachusetts

The Boston Red Sox host the New York Yankees in an AL East match up.

In their last games: In Game 1 of this 3-game series the Yankees beat the Red Sox 9-3.

In their romp over the Red Sox in Game 1 the Yankees banged out 15 hits and were up 8-2 after only 5 innings.

The Yankees are 4-1 facing the Red Sox this season.

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Here are some additional handicapping angles to ponder:

In the last 5 games between these 2 teams in Boston the total has gone Over 4 times.

The Red Sox are 5-2 in John Lackey’s last 7 home starts against the Yankees.

Michael Pineda has gone 6 innings in all 3 starts this season including a 4-1 win against the Red Sox on April 10th.

Pitching Match Up
New York Yankees: Michael Pineda (2-1, 1.00 ERA)
Boston Red Sox: John Lackey (2-2, 5.25 ERA)

Betting Odds

Money Line: Yankees +113 / Red Sox -123
Run Line: Boston -1.5 +170
Total Line: 8.5 Over(-115)

Straight up and Against the Point Spread Records
New York Yankees: 12-8 SU / O/U 9-11 / Run Line W/L 12-8
Boston Red Sox: 9-12 SU / O/U 8-13 / Run Line W/L 8-13

Key Betting Trends
• NY is 7-2 in their last 9 overall.
• NY is 6-2 in their last 8 vs. a team with a losing record.
• NY has an Over record of 4-1 in their last 5 games.
• BOS is 7-3 in their last 10 vs. a team with a winning record.
• BOS is 43-20 in their last 63 games as a home favorite.
• BOS has an Over record of 4-1 in their last 5 games.

Key Player Injuries

RED SOX
Will Middlebrooks 3B D.L. Apr 6 calf Late April?
Shane Victorino OF D.L. Mar 31 hamstring April 23
Steven Wright R D.L. Mar 27 middle body Out indefinitely
Ryan Dempster SP Suspended Feb 23 2015

YANKEES
Ivan Nova SP D.L. Apr 20 elbow Out indefinitely
Francisco Cervelli C D.L. Apr 14 hamstring Mid-June?
Brendan Ryan SS D.L. Mar 31 back Early May?
Alex Rodriguez 3B Suspended Jan 13 Day-to-day

Moneyline Prediction:

Lackey started the season out super sharp with back to back quality starts allowing 2 runs in 13 innings. He’s not been the same in his last couple getting hammered for 20 hits and 12 earned runs in 11 innings. What is disturbing is that two starts back he allowed 4 HRs to the Yankees and that followed that up with a 4 walk outing to Baltimore. That leads me to believe that confidence may another factor he is dealing with currently and obviously not a team that I want to back until he shows that he has regained his form. New York starter Michael Pineda has started 3 games and registered a quality start in all 3 including in that 6 inning 4 hits, 7 strikeouts and 1 earned run outing against the Red Sox. Take New York Yankees +113.

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