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New York Mets vs. Philadelphia Phillies Over Under Pick

Time: 7:05 PM EST Thursday May 29, 2014 CSN

Location: Citizens Bank Park, Philadelphia, Pennsylvania

The Philadelphia Phillies host the New York Mets in a NL East match up.

In their last games: The Phillies beat the Colorado Rockies 6-3 and the Mets beat the Pittsburgh Pirates 5-0.

Ryan Howard hit a walk off 3-run HR with 2 outs in the bottom of the 9th inning to give the Phillies the 6-3 win over the Rockies.

New York starter Bartolo Colon pitched 7 scoreless innings and struck out 9 in the Mets win over the Pirates.

These 2 teams have split the 4 games facing each other this season.

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Here are some additional handicapping angles to ponder:

The Mets are 2-5 in Zack Wheeler’s last 7 road starts.

The Mets are 5-0 in their last 5 games against the Phillies in Philadelphia.

In the last 29 games between these 2 teams in Philadelphia the Over record is 21-6-2.

The Mets have won 2 in a row and are 4-6 in their last 10 games and the Phillies are coming off a win and are 5-5 in their last 10 games.

Pitching Match Up
New York Mets: Zack Wheeler (1-5, 4.63 ERA)
Philadelphia Phillies: David Buchanan (1-0, 3.60 ERA

Betting Odds

Money Line: Mets +100 / Phillies -110
Run Line: Philadelphia -1.5 +180
Total Line: 8

Straight up and Against the Point Spread Records
New York Mets 24-28 SU / O/U 21-22 / Run Line W/L 30-22
Philadelphia Phillies: 23-27 SU / O/U 27-19 / Run Line W/L 24-26

Key Betting Trends
• NY is 1-4 in their last 5 games following a win.
• NY is 7-2 in their last 9 road games vs. a team with a losing record.
• NY has an Under record of 5-1 in their last 6 games.
• PHIL is 4-1 in their last 5 games as a home favorite.
• PHIL is 0-4 in their last 4 after scoring 5 runs or more in their previous game.
• PHIL has an Over record of 7-3-1 in their last 11 games.

Key Player Injuries

Eric Young Jr. OF D.L. May 26 hamstring Early June?
Travis d’Arnaud C D.L. May 14 concussion May 29
Dillon Gee SP D.L. May 14 shoulder Status uncertain
Gonzalez Germen RP D.L. May 12 flu Late May?
Bobby Parnell RP D.L. Apr 2 elbow Out indefinitely
Matt Harvey SP D.L. Mar 30 elbow 2015

Cody Asche 3B D.L. May 25 hamstring Out indefinitely
Luis Garcia RP D.L. May 24 arm Out indefinitely
Cliff Lee SP D.L. May 21 elbow Out indefinitely
Miguel Alfredo Gonzalez SP D.L. Mar 27 shoulder Out indefinitely

Over Under Pick:

The Mets send out Zach Wheeler to take on the Phillies. Wheeler had a rough patch of two games against the Yankees and the Nationals, but bounced back nicely in his latest against the Diamondbacks with a QS. He’s had 2 starts versus Philadelphia pitching a combined 11 1/3 innings, allowing 12 hits, 4 runs and striking out 12 while walking only 3. Phillies’ starter David Buchanan was adequate in his first start of his career holding the Dodgers to 2 earned runs over 5 innings. Some key stats to look at here may be Wheeler’s away record this season. He’s 1-3 on the season with a 5.68 ERA and 33.33% QS ratio. Buchanan wasn’t dominating in Triple A with a 3.98 ERA in 9 starts before getting called up last week, so to expect a repeat of his performance against Los Angeles may be optimistic.
Take Over 8 -105.

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