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New York Mets vs. Milwaukee Brewers Run Line Pick

Time: 7:10 PM EST Saturday July 26, 2014 FSWI

Location: Miller Park, Milwaukee, Wisconsin

The Milwaukee Brewers host the New York Mets in a National League match up.

In their last games: In Game 2 of this 4-game series yesterday the Mets beat the Brewers 3-2.

New York’s Lucas Duda hit a HR in the top of the 9th inning to give the Mets the win.

Here are some additional handicapping angles to ponder:

The Brewers are 7-2 in Wily Peralta’s last 9 starts.

In the last 10 games between these 2 teams the Under record is 8-2.

Jonathon Niese is 2-0 with a 1.98 ERA over his last 4 starts against the Brewers.

Pitching Match Up
New York Mets: Jonathon Niese (5-5, 3.13 ERA)
Milwaukee Brewers: Wily Peralta (11-6, 3.58 ERA)

Betting Odds

Money Line: Mets +137 / Brewers -147
Run Line: Milwaukee -1.5 +135
Total Line: 8 Over -115

Straight up, Over/Under and Runline Records
New York Mets: 49-54 SU / O/U 45-47 / Run Line W/L 61-42
Milwaukee Brewers: 58-46 SU / O/U 53-47 / Run Line W/L 50-54

Key Betting Trends
• NY is 11-5 in their last 16 overall.
• NY is 9-19 in their last 28 road games.
• NY has an Under record of 6-1 in their last 7 games.
• MIL is 4-1 in their last 5 overall.
• MIL is 5-1 in their last 6 home games.
• MIL has an Under record of 4-1 in their last 5 games.

Key Player Injuries

Matt Harvey Recovery from right elbow surgery on 60-day DL(3/30)
Bobby Parnell Torn MCL, right elbow on 60-day DL(4/1)
Taylor Teagarden Strained left hamstring on 15-day DL(6/22)

Jeff Bianchi Strained right elbow on 15-day DL(7/13)
Scooter GennettLeft game – right quad tightness day-to-day(7/23)
Jim Henderson Right shoulder inflammation on 60-day DL(5/2)
Tyler Thornburg Right elbow soreness on 15-day DL(6/7)
Wei-Chung Wang Left shoulder tightness on 15-day DL(7/11)

Run Line Pick:

Milwaukee starter Wily Peralta will look to get the Brewers back on the winning track after closer Francisco Rodriguez gave up 3 runs in the top of the ninth to lose 3-2 in last night’s game. Peralta has pitched well in his last 2 giving up 1 earned run over 14 innings. Peralta faced the Mets on June 11, pitching 6 and 1/3 of 4 hit ball yielding 1 run for the victory. The Mets starter Jonathon Niese gave up 4 runs on 11 hits in 6 frames in his return from a shoulder injury.
Take the Milwaukee Brewers -1.5 +135.

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