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Free Total Pick: New York Mets vs. Atlanta Braves

Time: 7:10 PM EST Tuesday April 8, 2014

Location: Turner Field, Atlanta, Georgia

The Atlanta Braves host the New York Mets in a National League East match up.

In their last games: The Braves lost to the Washington Nationals 2-1 and the Mets lost to the Cincinnati Reds 2-1.

In their loss to the Nationals the Braves only gave up 4 hits, but they left 9 men on base.

In their loss to the Reds the Mets got no offense going with only 4 hits in the game.

Here are some additional handicapping angles to ponder:

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The Braves; offense has struggled this season ranking 28th in the Majors in runs scored, but their pitching ranks 2nd in team ERA.

In his career Aaron Harang is 4-4 with a 5.66 ERA in 10 starts against the Mets.

In his career Bartolo Colon is 3-0 with a 1.57 ERA in 3 starts against Atlanta, but has not faced them since the 2002 season.

Pitching Match Up
New York Mets: Bartolo Colon (0-1 4.50 ERA)
Atlanta Braves: Aaron Harang (1-0 0.00 ERA)

Betting Odds

Money Line: Mets +122 / Braves -132
Run Line: Atlanta -1.5 +160
Total Line: 7.5 Under(-115)

Straight up and Against the Point Spread Records
New York Mets: 2-4 SU / O/U 3-2 / Run Line W/L 3-3
Atlanta Braves: 4-2 SU / O/U 1-5 / Run Line W/L 5-1

Key Betting Trends
• NY is 6-1 in their last 7 road games.
• NY is 7-19 in their last 26 vs. a team with a winning record.
• NY has an Under record of 9-3-1 in their last 13 games.
• ATL is 4-1 in their last 5 overall.
• ATL is 4-1 in their last 5 games vs. a right-handed starter.
• ATL has an Over record of 4-0 in their last 4 home games.

Key Player Injuries

METS
[P] 04/01/2014 – Bobby Parnell 15-day DL (4/1), out for season ( Elbow )
[CF] 04/03/2014 – Chris Young 15-day DL (4/3) ( Quad )
[P] 03/28/2014 – Matt Harvey 60-day DL (3/30), out for season ( Elbow )

BRAVES
[P] 03/28/2014 – Kris Medlen 60-day DL, out for season ( Elbow )
[P] 03/28/2014 – Mike Minor 15-day DL (3/21) ( Shoulder )
[P] 03/28/2014 – Gavin Floyd 15-day DL (3/21) ( Elbow )
[P] 03/28/2014 – Jonny Venters 60-day DL (3/21) ( Elbow )
[P] 03/29/2014 – Cory Gearrin 60-day DL (3/26) ( Elbow )
[P] 03/29/2014 – Brandon Beachy 60-day DL, out for season ( Elbow )
[C] 04/07/2014 – Evan Gattis “?” Tuesday vs. New York Mets ( Flu )

Over/Under Total Pick:

Atlanta’s pitching staff has been extra stingy leading the majors with a combined 9 runs allowed in 6 games. All the starters have been solid with today’s starter Harang pitching 6.2 innings of scoreless ball in his first start of the season. The Mets’ newly acquired starter veteran Bartolo Colon has had 6 quality starts in a row dating back to last season. If New York’s bullpen does an adequate job this should be a low scoring affair. Take Under 7.5 (-115).

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